Around the Horn, 1.15

Q.  Could Tommy Everidge platoon with Casey Kotchman in 2010?

A.  Geoff Baker took this possibility seriously.  Zduriencik has said that the M's are "not done," so presumably Everidge is a stoploss idea.

Sure, Everidge could have a big spring and break camp with the club:

  1. Wakamatsu is open-minded about March competitions.  Remember Mike Wilson and Matt Tuiasosopo last year?  Mike Sweeney?
  2. If the M's don't acquire a 1B, obviously the roster spot is open.
  3. Everidge has some talent.

Whether the M's should be using Everidge as a stoploss, when they have Mike Carp and Mike Saunders and umpteen young players who could do that, is a bit melancholy for me. 

I mean this Jack Zduriencik hardcase does NOT give playing time away to kids.  You will play after you show that you can.  Until then, we'll go grab stuff off the waiver wire and make them equal to you, mister #1 Org Prospect.

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Q.  Could he help?

A.  I like Everidge's swing.  It's kind of in the Mike Schmidt template, head locked down, RH fairly short to the ball with a nice shoulder load, and good, level extension on the followthrough.

Think Bryan Lahair from the other side, in terms of talent level.  Funky college-pro transition, late developer, good size, jells at 26-27 instead of at 23-24.  (Everidge finally solved AAA and hit something like 320/400/600 last year; you could look it up.)

Both Everidge and Lahair could have a couple of years as Geronimo Berroa, hit for a 110 OPS+ in the bigs or something.

G-Money points out that Everidge has wide career platoon splits, though those simmered down as he actually learned to hit.  I'd be giving the AB's to Mike Carp.  Both sides.

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Q.  What's with Kouzmanoff to the A's?

A.  The writers have always assumed that the Pads would trade one or the other, Kouzmanoff or Adrian Gonzalez.  I guess now we'll see that put to the test.

With Capt Jack's attitude towards the young players he inherited, I'm guessing the Pads wouldn't mind fielding 4 talented young M's in their 25-man roster, even after the Kouz trade...

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Q.  Do you buy the idea that Omar Minaya is out with the Mets, the first big losing streak they hit?

A.  You'll have to ask SABRMatt, but I could see it.  Unfortunate that stuff like Beltran happens.  But he's been given the green light on every aging $$$$$ free agent around, and it hasn't paid off the way he had in mind. 

It's situations like the Mets', firing away guns blazing in the FA market every year, and seeing so little in the standings, that reinforce Sandy's firm conviction that you add big FA's only as the last piece of the puzzle.

But you can sympathize with the extra $$ and years given to a guy like Jason Bay.  Put yourself in a GM's shoes -- win right now or else go look for another $500,000 per year job.  Are you going to pass on the cleanup hitter?

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Q.  How about that?  Looks like Felix's deal is going to get done!

A.  M's fans have figured that the M's could only keep one or the other, Lee or Felix, but I've always figured Lee was a probable keep either way.

It woulda made a lot of sense to me -- whether I agreed with it or not -- to keep Lee and deal Felix in a Herschel Walker deal.

What doesn't make any sense at all, is to keep Felix and then trade three of your best-and-brightest for 30 starts of one pitcher.  You've got to figure the M's are going to try their usual "look how wonderful the org is!" shtick with Cliff Lee.

Dr. D is sunshine and roses about this righty-lefty Cy Young combo.  Let's see just what two guys like this can do in Safeco Field with seven fast guys playing behind 'em.

Be Afraid.  Be Very Afraid.

Comments

1
Taro's picture

http://www.minorleaguesplits.com/cgi-bin/pl.cgi?pl=455077
Looking at that Carp actually rates out as an above-average defensive 1B in the minors. I wonder if this is just something the scouts are getting wrong? I'm looking for evidence that Carp is a poor fielder and I just can't find it. Even his short time in the majors he rated as a +5 run fielder.
Btw Everidge is an awful defensive 1B. Hes a DH really. A platoon DH at the MLB level at best. Hes the AAA DH this year hopefully, and hopefully they waive him so he doesn't cost a 40-man roster spot.

2

Sounds like a safe presumption that the beefy Everidge would have knee-to-knee range.
Carp, with his excellent hand-eye coordination and reasonably athletic lower body, should compare reasonably well to all the 230-lb. first baseman around the majors.
Solid.

3

Is that he's being compared to some truly awful DH types that are playing firstbase in AAA, such as Everidge, because the DH spot is much more commonly used by players recovering from injury in the minors than it is in the majors.  So the average defensive first baseman is much worse than it is in the majors.  I looked through the PCL 1st basemen and found Daric Barton ran TotalZone ratings of 14/150 and 13/150, compared to the 6.5/150 he's run in a season and a half at the major league level.  If you make the same kind of adjustment for Carp, he looks a lot more like an average fielder, which is still probably better than scouts would give him credit for.

4
OBP_Train's picture

Couple points I wanted to add but been so busy this week.
1) Gambling in sports can work provided you find odds that are sufficiently good. It's why I only bet on the mlb WS outright 8 months in advance. Already won on my first try($50 made $5050 on rays getting to WS). So yeah if you have 100:1 odds and you win say less then 5% of the time your still getting 5:1 on your money which is a insane amount of return. However only works on the underdogs. Betting on yankeees to win WS or betting on weekly games imho is just downright wasteful. If your that smart on daily events do day trading instead.... You can even make a bigger rate of return in sports gambling if you use the first time gambling bonuses and aren't loyal to a particular establishment. Um why should you be loyal? ;-)
2) Point #2 I put $30 on A's to win the WS and here's why(I'm a M's and Jays fan btw).
Why A's are the darkhorse to win the WS in 2010:
1) A huge collection of underperforming AAA MVP's in their lineup:
Mcpherson,Kouzmanoff,Fox,Carter,Jack Cust,
Each of these players have showed .600 slging in AAA in the past. Collectively the ceiling of these 5 players alone is ~200 hr.
2) Defensive++ players
Kouzmanoff,Coco crisp,rajai davis,michael taylor, sweeney
3) One of the best lineups in Oakland since the bash brothers days...
Just throwing a lineup out their you may see
1) Michael Taylor 2 Cust 3carter 4 mcpherson 5 Fox 6 Suzuki 7 Pennington 8 ellis 9 crisp/davis
The top of that order is downright scary. 
4) a highly underrated starting rotation
1) duscherer 2) braden 3) brett anderson 4) cahill 5) Gio gonzalez?
5) a even more underrated bullpen
So conservatily I'd put the As hitting ~250 hr in 2k10 with significantly better defensive and improved pitching. Now granted most of the AL west got better but seriously how isn't this a dark horse? The main thing is most people like brand name players but when you crunch the numbers the A's are a scary team.
 
 
 
 
 

5

A lot of the 1-800 pundits think it's easier to pick one $20 horse than five $4 horses...
Interesting detail analysis of the A's.  If those five AAA stars put up 40 homers each :- ) the division is indeed in a boatload of trouble.

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