Aiki-Doc on Danny Hultzen
Dr. D out to lunch as usual

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Very interesting discussion as to Danny Hultzen's 'new motion.'  

Fave commenter TR, who has coached pitchers, offers several meaty ideas that drive the discussionup to highways speeds, just by their sheer quality.  Thanks amigo.  He points out several things in this comment rat cheer:

  • "Throwing across the body" = planting the lead foot closer to 1B (for a LHP)
  • Same-handed hitters have a rougher time picking up this pitch
  • This changes the release point, where the ball comes out of the hand
  • There are some (controversial) issues as to what this does to the shoulder

Agree with points 1, 2, and 3, and #4 is interesting too.  And after the golfclap due, lemme kick the can down the road a bit by offering my own aiki-shtick to the stew pot ...

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Upper Body and Lower Body

It might be useful to understand "throwing across the body" by simply imagining a LHP pitcher taking a normal stride and then throwing to a spot that is behind a LH batter.  True, he releases the ball a bit later; this creates a slightly more "closed" (pinched) shoulder decel, but also a slightly more "open" (unpinched) backstroke.

Here, check out this image of Hultzen at release:

  1. Is his weight on his front foot, or his back foot?   Front.
  2. Is his arm in a weird position compared to his front shoulder?  No.  
  3. Is he contorting himself in order to bring the arm around?  No.  You wouldn't know he HAD come around the corner, except for his hips and back foot.

Because the Center of Gravity (CG) is already out on the front foot during the throughstroke, "throwing across the body" (as such) doesn't have a ton of meaning with respect to the leverage in the upper body. Any more than if you decided to wind up, plant the foot, and throw the ball behind the hitter's back.

In fact, the picture above probably reminds you of Randy Johnson's release to some extent.  The clearance is actually excellent, much better than (say) Taijuan Walker's.

.......

Here, stand up and get a feel for it, yourself.  I'll wait.  Step from 6 o' clock to 12 o'clock and throw a wad of socks.  Now step from 6 o'clock to 1 o'clock, come around the corner, and aim back at 12 o' clock.  

I'll wait.  :: toe tap ::

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Notice how your back foot releases?  And your upper body takes a gliding course in either case?  The only harm you did yourself was that your eyes moved really weird.  (And that is serious damage, bro'.)

Hultzen doesn't wrench his knee -- above -- because his hips slide out to 1B before he gets into the throughstroke.  Bad for CG, bad for the eyes, but no problemo for the shoulder.

........

Jay Buhner had a weird stance at the plate.  Lot of guys do.  What you want to look at, is their position as they load the bat; that looks pretty much the same from one batter to the next.  By analogy, Hultzen's throughstroke is pretty much the same as anybody else's.

Here's a gif-fed out discussion at HBT.  The author concludes:

What I noted was that Hultzen had typical ranges of kinematic parameters when comparing him to healthy and effective pitching mechanics of known populations:

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Release Points

Also, when we say "the release point may change by a full 18 inches" ... well, yeah, but that might be okay.  :- )  You can change your release point by 24" when you move from one side of the rubber to the other.  If your plant foot lands in a different spot, sure, your release point will measure out the same way.  Hultzen apparently moved his plant foot from 15" off to 1B, to coming down the CG.  Release point moves the same amount.  Sure.

The Cubans, including Elias, do this from one pitch to the next.   The Japanese, I think, have an actual rule written against doing it ...... 

A more important point for me:  Is Hultzen's arm now bent at the elbow as he releases?  That would be interesting; TR thinks maybe it has.  Let's find out in ST.  Personally I'd be purty sur-prized if that changed so much.

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Pop-a-Shot Dept.

What HAS happened, though, is that Hultzen started with his back foot toward 3B, so he did have to move his head sideways and move his CG in a circle, rather than a straight line.  His head and hips slid out to 1B, before he started the throughstroke.

In aikido this is called the tenkan step.  You use it in irimi -- the drunk throws a right hand down the centerline, you slide out to the left a foot or so, and feel the wind as he goes by.  Then, if you're not very nice, you lift your elbow a bit into his chin.  The martial version of 'coming around the corner'.

In Dr. D's pitching world :- ) this is a control and command disaster, but not much of an issue with respect to strain on the upper body.  It may even lessen strain on the body above the waist; do shot-putters stress themselves by twirling on ice skates before they throw?

But moving your head and eyes is a catastrophe for control.  It's like shooting a mini-basketball at a Pop-a-Shot.  The target is moving during your own sports motion.  ... Oddly, Hultzen had superb command.  That is, until his shoulder started going out.

.......

Coming around the corner as such didn't hurt Jeff Nelson, Erik Bedard, Sid Fernandez, or all the Cubans -- provided they could throw a strike that way.  ;- )

In fact, Dr. D takes it as a given that the more sidearm you throw, the safer it is.  Coming around the corner keeps you sidearm.  

Charlie Furbush does absolutely everything wrong you can do with a sports motion, but seems to have never had a moment's pain in his arm.  El Sid, a blocky little guy who should never have been a pitcher, gave the Mets like 2,000 innings with a muscled-up, ugly motion.  Randy Johnson.  etc.

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Strides, CG, and Moe Mentum

But!  Here's the thing.  Guys who throw across their body do sometimes have very short strides.  That was certainly true of Hultzen.  Compared to other pro pitchers, he generated very little momentum in his motion, especially from his lower body.  This meant he had to use a lot of muscle to generate velocity.

Here is a discussion of the short-stride issue at Hardball Times, and it's got Danny Hultzen in it.  See the .gif especially.  Hultzen's forward momentum, simply isn't.  You'll never in your life see a pitcher with feebler CG transfer.  Watch the .gif!

Unfortunately, the HBT author gets caught up in other favorite checkpoints -- his gig is to measure body part angles -- but in Dr. D's aiki-world the white meat of the chicken is the part where he catches Hultzen not engaging his CG well.  For me this is the ultimate no-no.

.......

So what we hear is that Hultzen is now striding toward home plate, and Dr. D's ears perk up:  Does this mean he's now accelerating his CG more smoothly?  If so, SSI signs off on this tweak with gusto.  

MoeDawg would say, careful how much you tweak.  All too true, if you're a 3-handicapper who is changing for the sake of change.  But!  Not if you are a 24-handicapper changing from doing it wrong to doing it right.  MoeDawg isn't going to hesitate about changing Dr. D's golf swing, if he's moving his head 24" and bending his right knee :- )

ANY TIME a pitching coach can help a pitcher accelerate his CG more smoothly and powerfully, then I'm right there with him on it.  Any day and twice on Sunday.

(1) Hultzen's CG transfer has been a tragedy.  (2) They say they've changed his motion, and he's throwing awesome.  That's the on-site report.  So is this (3) a negative or a positive?  Hey, the rookie Gary Payton has changed his shot and he's draining 3's like nobody's business ... am a little confused as to why this creates more worries than hurries.

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R/X and Dr's Prognosis

Hultzen had a labrum and a rotator cuff.  Yowch.  Three things about that:

  • Pitchers' surgeons are getting different results these days;
  • If Hultzen's chances of injury are 30-40%, that'd be no different from Taijuan's, KPax's, or Iwakuma's, and
  • **** Your chances of being cured of leukemia are better after you've been cured, than before.

That was precisely what kicked off the SSI discussion, was the news that Hultzen was "throwing 90 MPH without even cutting loose."  

If Lance Armstrong gets diagnosed with a brain carcinoma, his recovery chances are X%.  But after he's treated, his PET scan is clean and his blood markers all came back to normal, that's not X% any more.  Patients who get to that point, have rather better chances of survival than those who first walk into the chemo clinic.  :- )  If Percy Harvin goes through hip labrum surgery, but then he's in training camp running 4.3 40's and everybody tells you he's zigging and zagging like he was, well, that's different.  He's been through the surgery and is performing well.  If it's 18 months from now, and Paul Richardson is in training camp running as well as ever, fine.  You put him on the roster and you go play football.

Youse guys are under-weighting the cheery value of the glowing reports on Hultzen, it sez here.  Sorry to be the bearer of bad news.  The guy had his surgery and can now throw it through a brick wall.  Somebody blow my head off.

........

I remember the first car I bought ... 1974 Pinto, I think.  Being 17 years old, I got psyched up and started planning on how to trick it out.  Flame paint, cool wheels, sound system ... finally a car salesman grabbed me by the scruff of the neck.  "Put $5 grand into that car and it's still going to be a 1974 Pinto.  You're not going to change what it is."

Personally I think it's easy for us to get a little too excited about how much this or that mechanical change might create a new baseball player.  Did you ever see a swing change, create a David Ortiz out of a Dustin Ackley?  Or a mechanical change create a Gio Gonzalez out of a Lucas Leutge?  Players kinda are who they are.

The changes might lessen (or increase) a player's chance of injury a little bit.  Changes might help a pitcher gain consistent command, like they did with Paxton's reduced backstroke.  Not so often that a pitching coach makes a silk purse out of a sow's ear, or vice versa.  Or that's how Dr. D looks at it.

Once in a while, they'll Austin Bibens-Dirkx or Blake Beavan some scrub or other, and really ruin his career.  Seen it happen 2 or 3 times over the last 20 years.  Wouldn't get over-alarmed that any given rumored change is going to create such a situation, especially when the initial reports are glowing :- )

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Hultzen's odds aren't to be overestimated.  He might have three setbacks during 2015 and not be ready until 2016.  Or he might always be a Scott Bankhead.  No doubts there.

Nor are we to overestimate the odds of Taijuan.  Nor those of D.J. Petersen.  Like RockiesJeff emphasized, they're going to throttle up slowly on Hultzen, watch the workload very close.

Supposing that Danny Hultzen has only a 40% chance of ever being an impact MLB asset.  What are D.J.'s chances?  About the same.

I wouldn't give you D.J. Petersen for Danny Hultzen, right now -- Hultzen only has to become healthy, whereas Petersen has to become good.  Thass my opinion I could be wrong.

Comments thread all yers,

Dr D

 

Comments

1

Jeff, you crack me up. 20 or so years ago (almost) when we started chattin' on the STATS board, I knew we had a lot in common....same world view, same age, etc. Never knew about the Pinto. Well chalk up one more in common. First car for me? '74 Pinto - though I never tried to trick it out, only tried to convince people that my gas tank wouldn't blow up spontaneously while driving down road. Thankfully it didn't.
The one guy I can think of who was pretty good, but went through a complete overhaul and arguably came out the other side (supposedly) much better was Roy Halladay. (Of course we only assume he was as good as he was because of the overhaul, but we don't really know for sure that Halladay would not have been just as good, but different).

2

Back in '79, fresh out of the U of O and dabbling at selling Fords (long story...,,short experience), I actually drove a used '74 Pinto we had on the lot for a bit.  It's amazing we didn't all go up in Pinto flames!
1st car was a '68 Impala, senior year in Eugene.
You're pretty spot on, Doc, about Hultzen's injury chances being no greater than Walker's, et al.  My concern with big changes isn't that they increase injury risk but that they CAN decrease performance up side.  To assume the body is just a bit of robotics that needs only the right input of angles/strides/etc. to run at optimum performance just doesn't work in the real world. 
At the plate, Ichiro surely doesn't look all those hitting videos that are out there.  Hank Aaron didn't either.  The were fair to middling performers, IIRC.  Same applies to pitchers, as you know.  If we're "tweaking" Hultzen to make for a smoother delivery (which may not totally be a smooth one, just more "-er") you'll get no beef from me.  
But if we're trying to reduce his injury chances by some mechanical fix, well....I'm not sure we understand each and every body quite that well.  He's thrown a 10,000+ pitches in a certain manner because it fits his body.  I'm assuming we proceed cautiously with the tweaks and trusting in that.  
Lengthen his stride by an inch or two and move him on the rubber (which doesn't change the motion) and then let him throw.  
And do me a fovor, would you please.  Give us a comparison of Hultzen's motion to that of Moyer.
 
moe

3
Brent's picture

Back in high school, Dad worked as the finance manager at the Ford Dealer. Dad drove a Lincoln. When my older brother totaled mom's 1967 Mercury station wagon (black ice, ended up with the front half of the car in some lady's living room), it got replaced with... wait for it... a bright yellow 1974 Pinto. I took my drivers license test in it. Second worst car I've ever driven. The transmission crapped out at 24K miles, and back then warranty was only 12 months, 12K miles.
Just thinking off the top of my head I don't think there'd be a lot of similarity to Moyer's motion. Moyer seemed like he was trying to slow down, not speed up. You can't throw that Bugs Bunny change-up if you are trying to push off hard and accelerate toward the plate. He wasn't interested in trying to fire it past you, anyway. He wanted you out in front of it, cork-screwing yourself into the dirt swinging the bat or buckling your knee trying to not swing.

4

After my 2nd deployment, my ship was going into the shipyard at Bremerton. My dad had sold my previous car when I was in boot camp because I wasn't making enough to pay the insurance -- I bought a 10-speed bike while I was going to the Navy schools ( $81.60 per 2-week payday didn't go far) and then kept it aboard ship in Long Beach for my first years there.
But by this time I'd made E-5 and was doing OK when I got to Bremerton, went home on leave and my hometown Ford dealer, who was also a neighbor, had a '74 Pinto wagon with the 2.3L engine that I could get for $3100 with all the deluxe fitout. So my first "on my own" car was also a Pinto!

6

In fact, the best one I can think of.  ... shy of all the Koufax / Unit stories about a 100 MPH pitcher improving his motion and throwing strikes.  But yeah.  
Halladay and Kelvim Escobar and ... who was the 3rd pitcher in that super-group that Toronto had come up?  Was that Cris Carpenter?  Sometimes a pitcher's journey to stardom has quite a few detours on the way ...
........
Honestly Russ if you and I and a coupla others hadn't 'met' way back then, I might be doing something else with my hobby time.  Strange how things work out.  :- )

7

XLNT prototype there Brent.  Jamie Moyer certainly is an example of a pitcher who generated no real momentum out of his lower body.  As you're probably aware, he took -8 MPH his fastball with --- > the simple thought of --- > "falling" towards home plate (on the changeup) rather than pushing off the rubber.  
Note well:  there was no discernible difference to the observer ... what does that tell you about his momentum?  He had the MINIMUM.
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Just about the first thing I remember James saying, was that a young LHP had to have ballerina-type grace and balance.  Moyer was the epitome.  Hultzen's the opposite.  What Jamie could get away with, has been a little tougher for Deuce...
Also, Moyer was satisfied to throw smoothly at 87 MPH.
So you had a pitcher who compensated for loss of momentum by (1) eerily-smooth leverage, (2) great "trueness" down the CL, and (3) a willingness to let the ball travel (more) slowly out of his hand.  
By contrast, Hultzen is an "ice dancer" who is stomping his skates into the arena floor as he lands the triple axel.  Bad things are going to happen.  Here is that Hultzen .gif again.
.........
Great talking point.  The Pinto, I mean ....

8

Happened to reply to Brent before you.
As y'know, we treasure your golf-instructor camera angle in *every* thread like this.  I don't think there is a physical sport that quite compares to golf, in the sheer virtuosity and knowledge of biomechanics, and the direct feedback that y'all get so immediately and directly.  ANYbody who can play scratch golf, has an avid audience in Dr. D.  But your stuff is always particularly well-targeted across to baseball contexts.
Long before there was CrossFit, there was CrossSSI ...

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Taro's picture

I think the odds are against Hultzen pitching effectively for any extended amount of time. Hes likely finished. If he isn't, its a revelation in shoulder surgeries and I wouldn't be as worried about another pitcher injury ever again.

10

Yep, he appears to stomp.
But it appears to be more of a rhythm thing to me than a mechanical thing.  I would have him "pause" or "pose" on his left leg for just a bit, then go forward.  That's the aiki stuff, right?  Smooth him out in one simple delay.....
But I'm struggling to see a huge mechanical problem.  Admittedly, I'm no pitching coach and my kinesthetic knowledge is experiential and observational, not academic.
I love Boddy's line: "And in my experience of working with professional clients, changing major mechanical concepts in someone’s delivery isn’t the simplest thing to do, especially when the parent organization doesn’t seek outside opinion."  That's what I was talking about in reference to "tweaks" vs. major changes.
In the gifs, I don't see much difference between the two images.  I do see a guy who doesn't stride out well but I don't see that as deadly or particularly injury causing. See the above caveat, however.
In the end, Hultzen is the best judge of his own body.  Trust in that.  "Tweak" when necessary.  Avoid the major overhauls.  You don't get as good as Hultzen was with completely broken mechanics.  Changing more than one thing, and changing that thing more than subtly, is a crap shoot at best.  
Move him to the 1B side of the rubber, ask for a pause at the top.  Call it good enough for now.
 
 
 

11

To my eye, Hultzen is just very clumsy.  Compared to a Jamie Moyer.  
You captured it with the "rhythm" idea.  What do you, as a golf instructor, do with a guy who just moves like a klutz?  ;- )  He's jerky, he has no acceleration, there's no fluidity, he can't balance on one foot if you ask him to ... he stands high, he lands heavily on his feet, his muscles aren't working together. ... some guys just move like Frankenstein or Mr. Roboto or whatever.
But, as you say, Hultzen had hair-fine command in college.  Reminds me of Eckersley.  I never understood his movement, but the guy could whick a gnat off a wildebeest's hide at 20 yards.

13

Was there for the afore-mentioned overhaul in '74-'76, then again in '89-'93 homeported on USS NIMITZ (CVN-68). I retired there after a tour in Groton and did some schooling at UW ('98) while living in the house I had bought in '89 in Silverdale. We then moved back to my wife's family farm in Idaho, where I abide now.

14
IcebreakerX's picture

I haven't watched much Hultzen, but wouldn't that suggest he doesn't have very good body control?
Which sounds odd when he had good control...

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Anonymous's picture

Sad but true. Pitchers drafted top 5 first round can break your heart. The best I can think of? Package deal with another high profile player mid-season for who we need. Let someone else take a chance on the high risk high reward. His ceiling reward wasn't off the charts high to begin with. His value was major league readiness. So much for that.

16
muddyfrogwater's picture

The 11 draft was loaded too. Gerrit Cole, Dylan Bundy, Anthony Rendon, Francisco Lindor, George Springer, Sonny Gray. Not to mention several high upside players who haven't blossomed just yet. Unfortunately Hultzen was considered a safe pick and near ready. Bad time for Anthony Rendon to break his ankle, or else he'd probably be in our infield right now. Damned hindsight.

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BShaw's picture

Bat, my dad was a Hornet pilot on the Nimitz during Desert Storm in '91. I was 5 or 6 at the time, but I remember vividly the homecoming. It's funny, but my parents live in Idaho now too. Small world.

18

LT M.J. - looks like someone I occasionally ate with in the "dirty shirt" wardroom when my guys would be working on machinery. I was a LCDR - the senior principal assistant and senior technical assistant to the Reactor Officer for reactor/propulsion/auxiliaries maintenance and one of the PDOs/EOOWs.
I remember that Homecoming well, also. I had to shutdown and cool down the Reactors before I could leave (the Reactor Officer, a CAPT, got the first few nights off ;-) ) but nine months later my wife presented me with a "Desert Stork" daughter who is a senior in college this year. Over 10,000 men arrived back in Puget Sound that week to Bremerton, Bangor, Whidbey, Ft. Lewis, McChord, etc. and there was a definite mini-baby-boom as a result!

19

Bought it new. Cost me $120 a month for 3 years. I was making peanuts but I was living at home at age 19.
HOWEVER, in the late 1970's I ended up with...a 1974 Pinto in a sickly medium green. My Dad used to joke that it only had four moving parts. A VERY unusual rain (for Sourthern California) flash-flooded Katella Ave and attempting to cross an intersection water poured into the car through the non-watertight doors. I tell this story because of the following curiosity. Come spring grass started growing from the carpeted floor. I kid you not.

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