Yu Darvish - Feasibility Study, Dept.
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Q. How would Dr. D deploy such an embarrassment of pitching riches?
A. As Terry and we were discussing ... in the 1970's, the Dodgers developed 11 different All-Star starters in a period of 3-4 years. That worked out okay for them -- especially long-term.
You pitch your best five .... and you trade one now and then ... and you give a couple of others some bullpen time ... and you let one or two pitch in AAA a little longer. It works out, trust me.
If the M's added Darvish for 2012, I'd start with this assumption:
- Felix
- Darvish
- Pineda
- Paxton
- Vargas
I'd have Hultzen in AAA to get into pro rhythm, and I'd try to deal Vargas. I'd have Furbush and Beavan in the pen as swing men, against injury etc.
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Q. The M's ain't going to spend no $100M to get Darvish.
A. The $60M posting fee, you figure, comes out of funding other than payroll. That's how other teams do it, and it's how the Mariners assigned Ichiro's posting fee.
Again, this is on the basis that Yamauchi-san wants a Japanese icon going forward.
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Darvish's first six years in America probably cost the M's somewhere around $10M, $12M per year. Considering that he'll probably match CC Sabathia FIP-for-FIP, that's a salary you want to pay.
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Q. Why would his team give him up three years early?
A. Taro and IceX can speak to this better than I could..
Around the 'net, you read all sorts of crazy talk from the Nippon Ham Fighters, how they never want to resist their players' dreams ... even how it's Nippon's "goal" to see its graduate players do well in MLB. :- )
Am sure that the $60M* posting fee will figure in someplace around #6 or #8 on their checklist, too.
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