Oakland

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A competitive team and a nice night at the ballpark

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RESPECT is a feeling of admiration.  

It is elicited by another person's achievements, attitudes, or character.  Typically it is associated with a certain level of deference.  It recognizes the intrinsic worth of another person - almost always, because of the choices they make, and not because of the talents they were born with.  

You don't respect blond hair; you respect a bald person using a walker in a courageous fashion (as I witnessed at the gas station the other night, where a young man took several minutes cheerfully folding up his walker to put it into the back of his truck.  How many times has he done that?).  

You do not respect intelligence; you respect a surgeon who calmly spends 10 hours making sure every single move he makes is precise, however tedious it gets.  You respect the woman who spends her Saturday volunteering at the food bank.  You don't respect Colin Kaepernick's footspeed, not on a human level; you respect Russell Wilson's determination to help the Seahawks, and not himself.

I can respect the discipline any man uses to become one of the top 1% in his profession, as all MLB(tm) shot-callers are.  That doesn't mean that Dan Duquette receives the same overall deference that Pat Gillick receives.  You do not respect George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and Bill Clinton at exactly the same levels, or even similar levels.  

You don't respect Ken Lay of Enron the same way you respect Bill Gates of Microsoft. Once you ask for, and get, the steering wheel, let's see what you do with it.

You don't respect inborn talents.  You respect priorities.

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America, today, is about demanding respect.  It is about treating respect as a courtesy, something you do as a favor to others.  Those two mis-definitions miss the entire point of respect.  If you want to talk about courtesy, then use that word.  Or sensitivity.  Or kindness.  Or helpfulness.  Or use another word.  Some word other than "respect."  Because respect can only be earned, not demanded.

Maybe America is re-defining "respect" as a shortcut.  We're a drive-thru society, aren't we?

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Brad Miller, work in progress

Brad Miller was making me cringe again watching him last night.  I had to tell myself to relax, especially as I watch him next to Zunino - two men with similar profiles and positional challenges who are right now trending in opposite directions.  Miller's brutal inferno crash this year is frustrating, but not necessarily indicative of a lost career.  So let's not get carried away by the aftermath of his two-month carwreck.

M's +2 in Wild Card Race!

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Q.  They're on pace for 86 wins, 76 losses.  Would that ever get the second Wild Card?

A.  In the AL, the #6 teams over the past ten years -- the teams the #5 squads have had to exceed -- have been as follows:

Season W's needed to be #5 WC2 Club W's by #6 Remark
2013 91 TB/Tex 91 Playoff #5 vs #6
2012 91 Bal 90, Tampa  
2011 87 Bos 86, LAA  
2010 89 Bos 88, ChiSox 95+ L's  Bal, Sea, KC
2009 87 Tex 86, Det 97-98 L's by 3x clubs
2008 89 NYY 88, Min  
2007 88 Sea/Det   M's made new playoffs
2006 88 LAA 87, Tor  
2005 89 Cle 88, Oak  

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The last two years were the only times, the last decade, when it required 90 wins to make the new playoffs.

"Soft Skills, No Hit, 5 War Player"- Inverted

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Nelson Cruz went to the Baltimore Orioles for 1 year, $8M.  He is an unrestricted free agent in four months.

Pull up Baseball-Reference on the Orioles -- the team the Mariners are chasing in the Wild Card -- and it shows you that Cruz is the Orioles' best player, by WAR.  (He is not there for WAR; he is there to change the scoreboard.)  

He has 15 homers in 45 games ... let me divide 162 by 3 here real quick ... and 43 RBI in those 45 games.  (Cano and Seager lead our team with 28 RBI each; we feel very relieved to have Mike Zunino's 18 RBI, which pro-rate to about 70.)

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Needless to say, if Cruz hits 44 homers, drives in 137 runs, and the Orioles win the pennant, then ... the skeptics will still have been right about Nelson Cruz.  It's about process.  (And you know where to find The Right Process!)

Even if Cruz hit 200 homers from here to the end of the wire, they'd still have been right.  This is, as you are only too well aware, a peeve of Dr. D's.   

M's a WINNING BALLCLUB! M's a WINNING BALLCLUB!

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Ah!  So Felix had merely been sick.  As in, he had the flu for three weeks.  That would:

  • Explain the way the sweat has been trickling off his chin like Patrick Ewing's, and why he was squinting like he'd Waked and Baked to the game
  • Be aptly characterized as a "Best Case Scenario"
  • Have nothing whatever to do with his shoulder, arm, his kick saves, or his mechanics ...
  • ... and turn out as one more edition of Tomorrow's News Today, babe
  • Put "PAID" to the suggestion that Hisashi Iwakuma is better than he is
  • Leave Astros hitters described as "pleasantly Mr. Bean-y"
  • Set up an extended series of "rigged" Mariner games every 5th day 
  • #8warhashtag
  • Contain an interesting silver lining

It's funny:  when Felix felt lousy, he didn't have his changeup.  Now that he was finally back tonight, his yakker looked like it was a lot sharper.  

Pedro has an interview up on Fangraphs.  He says tersely, "when I had all three of my pitches working, it was a shutout."  You realize the overhand curve is the only pitch he has that is slower than his other pitches; they can cheat on everything else.

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