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Brandon Maurer for Seth Smith

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Discussion thread :- )

Taro has been arguing for Seth Smith since before Dr. D was arguing for Felix Hernandez.  G-Money wasn't far behind, as we recall.

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Ron Shandler sez -- Baseball Forecaster for sale here; you can download the .pdf right away --

  • Mildly surprising:  he hit in SD.  Reversed skills decline, was able to hold down a defensive position.
  • Not surprising:  New manager kept him away from LHP, in line with most of his career.  
  • Even though 2H seemed rough, plate skills remained, and HctX and PX call for continued pop in 2015.

For those who just joined us, "Hard contact expectancy" is a super-refined metric that tells us how often he's able to hit the ball hard.  "Power Index" is a metric that tells us how hard he's able to hit the ball often.  :- )  

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The World's #1 Starting Pitcher (and Football Team)

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Since the 1960's, the idea of the "Elo Rating System" has dominated tournament chess.  It has percolated from there into soccer, into college football, into video games, and so on.

It's a rating system that is both (1) mathematically as strong as a python, and (2) intuitively simple.  The average player has a rating around 1400 "class C", within a range that is about 800-2400.  If he sits down on Friday night across from a player with a rating of 1601 ("class B"), he's got about a 25% chance, 3 to 1.

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