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Wilson, Rizzuto, and the last generation's UZR food fight

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Taro's picture
Submitted by Taro on

It comes down to whether or not you think Jack can rebound offensively in the AL. Was this a cold streak or a sign that the gap between the NL and AL is as wide as ever?

If Jack can rebound offensively hes well worth the $10-12mil over 2 years. If not, ya. It could get ugly.

Sandy - Raleigh's picture
Submitted by Sandy - Raleigh on

Chance of Jack Wilson posting an 80 OPS in 2010.

He's only turning 32, so I'm not that concerned about age, (yet).  (His interleague OPS just happens to be .754, btw).  His 30/60 eye ratio seems relatively intact, (accepting that he had a horrible and injury marred debut with Seattle). 

A plus for Seattle is that Pittsburgh's park plays similar to Safeco ... kind to lefty power, and a severe blow to righties.  Not that Wilson is a power righty -- just saying that fears about Wilson's transition to Seattle are *NOT* supported by any of the aggregate numbers for his career.  He's fared well against AL clubs, (70 points of OPS ABOVE his career OPS mark), and oddly has picked on Yankees, Tampa and Twinkies most strongly.  (Of course, his splits against individual teams are really small and all subject to sample size issues).

But, he's got 470 PAs in interleague, so that's not a horribly small sample. 

Honestly, I think Jack is due for a good season, (age 26 ... age 29 ...).  He's been spacing his monster seasons three years apart.  His career OPS is 78, so that would typically be right where I'd project just about any 32-year-old ... right on their career average, (which typically includes the low production from learning stage, as well as their peak year). 

I think he's the type of hitter who, (if healthy), might get some real benefit from working with Ichiro.  I also think the release from Pittsburgh Pergatory makes him a good bounce candidate for 2010. 

I think Matt's concern is the primary one.  His health hasn't been good the last few years.  There's another area where the club pushing him to pal around with Ichiro ... the physicality phanatic ... could reap rewards.

I'm much, much more worried about Hall, who I used to love, but am increasingly convinced has lost his eye, and it's not coming back.  He was okay with a 1/3 eye ratio.  But at 1/4 or 1/5, he's dead meat.  Unless Seattle can plug the hole in his swing, Hall is likely going to be dead weight, IMO.  Wilson should be just frustratingly serviceable.

IcebreakerX's picture

My problem is more the fact that he can't seem to stay on the dang field. Jack Wilson's been hurt, hurt, hurt a lot the last few years. Out of 160 games over the last 3 years.

This isn't the case of Erik Bedard, where he can be injured for 80 games a season and still contribute in 15 of the ones he participates.

Jack Wilson actually needs to be on the field to contribute with his skill set. And injury downtime only strains the bench.

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