POTD Chris Capuano: Scouting Report

Q.  How does Capuano get outs?  When he has his A game and when he has his B game?

A.  He gets outs just like George Sherrill and Sid Fernandez get outs.

Upright, balanced backstroke ....... then WHOOOOoooom the center drops and drives .... he comes sidearm around the corner .... and the ball materializes in the batter's field of view when it's about 45 feet away.

It was workin' a hundred years ago, and a hundred years on, it'll still be workin'.  Capuano's deception is a perfect 80 on the scale.


Q.  Is he regaining his velocity after two years of TJ?

A.  He never did have velocity, or he'd have been El Sid (10-11 whiffs per).  He does not need velo. 

87-88 mph for Capuano is 93 in dog years.  ... he's had the same lame-o-tronic 87 mph his whole career.  That's what's so great.  He's guaranteed to have 87 mph again next year.  You feel me?  Capuano's game is the most repeatable game in the bigs.

It's a game less prone to the "A game" and "B game" than most guys'.  The same was true of Jarrod Washburn.  Remember his summer's worth of 1- and 2-run starts?  87 mph up, down, in, out, go get the ball Guti, what's to frazz in and out?


Check the fangraphs historicals on his FB velo.  You could look it up.  Capuano hides the ball, hits super-aggressive spots in the zone, and pitches to miss bats.  He sticks pepper-encrusted forks into the tender spots of batters' strike zones.

You talk about Felix learning from Cliff Lee:  actually he could learn from this guy.  Capuano throws his FB just like Erik Bedard does:  up the ladder, in on the hands, a half-foot outside .... Capa uses deception, though, rather than quickness like Erikkkk.


Watch some tape and you'll see baseball's greatest hitters grope for Capuano's 88 fastballs like they were knuckleballs.    There are times they just can't see it.  Can't see it.


Q.  What does SSI think of his offspeed game?

A.  To watch this guy from the CF camera, you'd swear he telegraphs the offspeed from the stretch.  Both his change and slider look terrible.  Shape and release.

It just doesn't happen on the field, though.  The Run Values are real solid on both the slider and change, year after year.  :shrug:  Sometimes my eyes deceive me - here's a case in point for sure.

Capa has plenty of success both with his slider and change, throws them both a lot.  His K's with the slow stuff is a combo of the deception, and the fact that the hitters are so hysterically trying to defend the heater, I guess.  Maybe his dangerous FB makes the other pitches a lot better than they are.


:okay: Sometimes on the change, it does roll off the table and he gets a Jamie Moyer deadfish sink to it.  When he does it's an absolutely unhittable pitch.

It makes you wonder, idly, whether Capuano would ever perfect the drop pitch.  If he ever did, he'd be illegal.  We don't expect him to do so, though.


Q.  How are the mechanics?

A.  Sidearm good.  Everything else, bad.

His CG accelerates down the CL, but in a super-jerky way -- he sort of stops for no reason, and then HURLS his hips forward like a fat kid trying to do situps.

He slings the ball instead of leveraging it.  He muscles the ball.  The decel is graceless.  Taro won't like the high, inverted W. 

It's no blinkin' accident he tops out at 88, is "effectively wild," and is hurt all the time.  He's using strength to throw the ball, rather than leverage.  (If you think I'm whistling in the dark with that last line, cue up some Bedard footage and comp it to Capa.)

Just an opinion.  I know I'm not an expert.  But from an aiki standpoint it cul-de-sacs at about fourth kyu...

The good news is, he's tanned, rested, and ready to go.  He's had three years off.  2011 should be low miles on the retreads.




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SABR MattSaunders hasn't even gone on rehab assignment yet...he's at least 3 weeks away.15 min 36 sec ago
Bat571I think Hart gets put on waivers tonight, and if he clears, gets offered to Milwaukee for considerations. That saves some face, and if he is done, lets him announce it wearing a Brewers' cap. But his roster spot will be needed soon for Saunders.1 hour 3 min ago
Bat571Romero and Jones to Tacoma with the flat statement they will be back up September 1 - classy; send 'em out, but make sure they know you appreciate them. McClendon apparently told the reporters that the move for Paxton would come from the pitching side. I expect to see Bawcom (or possibly Leutge) DFA'd and maybe Leone (someone they've already used an option on) go down for a week to 10 days and they'll rotate through the BP for rest.1 hour 6 min ago
SABR MattFor now, the Mariners have a few decisions to make before game time tonight. Denorfia and Jackson must be added to the active roster. Stefen Romero and James Jones seem like the likeliest bets to go down to AAA for that. Then the Mariners need to clear a 40-man roster spot for Paxton...to do that, I recommend DFA'ing Corey Hart for now.1 hour 29 min ago
SABR MattMike Carp DFA'd by Sox. he worth a look?2 hours 25 min ago
SABR MattThe real issue with the trades, from Beane's perspective, has got to be that he has no room to add POWER to his line-up...and he's only got three power threats. Moss, Donaldson, Norris. The 2015 team, unless he trades Samardzija or something like that, is going to be a pitcfhing/defense club relying heavily on OBP and small ball.2 hours 30 min ago
SABR MattGLS: http://blogs.seattletimes.com/mariners/2014/07/31/video-mariners-general-manager-jack-zduriencik-discusses-trades/2 hours 32 min ago
SABR MattWith no additions next year, their line-up would look like: LF) Crisp DH) Vogt/Jason 3B) Donaldson 1B) Moss C) Norris RF) Reddick CF) Gentry 2B) Sogard SS) Punto OF4) Fuld IF) Freiman BC) Jaso PH) Barton Rotation) Gray/Samardzija/Kazmir/Chavez/Parker Bullpen) Cook/Doolittle/O'Flaherty/Abad/Pomeranz/Scribner/Lindblom2 hours 48 min ago
GLSWhere is that video?2 hours 56 min ago
SABR MattAgreed with csiems that Beane does not get to kee his payroll at +25 mil form norm. If you look at the permanent pieces in Oakland for next year, they've got Kazmir (13 mil), Cris (11), Samardzija (~9), Moss (~8), O'Flaherty (5.5), Reddick (~4.2), Jaso (~3.7), Punto (3 option), Gentry (~2), Chavez (~1.8), Barton (~1.5), Donaldson (~1.4), Abad (~1.1), Fuld (~1), Sogard (~0.8), Cook (~0.8), Parker (~0.7), and, if they made no other additions, the rest would all be 0.5 roster spots (4). Which totals 72.5 million dollars. I think they will be capped somewhere juuuust north of there around 75 million. The minimum wage players include Gray, Scribner, Pomeranz, Norris, Doolittle, Freiman, Vogt, Lindblom. They have both of their catchers, 1B, 2B, 3B, CF, LF, RF, DH, all five rotation spots, and their entire bullpen filled. They would need to acquire a cheap fourth outfielder and SS.2 hours 57 min ago
csiemsYou could be right, Terry. Oakland still has Norris, Donaldson, Gray, and Doolittle all pre-arb next year. Crisp and Kazmir, though aging, are under contract for ~$11 mil each. Jaso (Arb3), Moss (Arb2), Samardzija (Arb3) and Chavez (Arb 1) are getting expensive though. Lester, Hammel, Gregerson, and Lowrie are all free agents and leaving holes. My guess is that Beane is exceeding his normal payroll because they are going for it this year and he will have to slough off some salary in the offseason.3 hours 24 min ago
SABR MattHow many of you all have overcome unfair obstacles, reached the end of a task successfully and then turned to your enemies and said "NOW WHAT??? WHAT DO YOU HAVE FOR ME NOW??? HOW DO YOU LIKE ME NOW??? EAT IT, SUCKA!!!" That was, IMHO what Z did yesterday.3 hours 26 min ago
SABR MattI re-watched the video from Zduriencik...I didn't have the same viscerally negative reaction that Doc did regarding his tone. It feels to me like he was really...REALLY ticked off at the offers he kept getting in trades...like he wanted to do more within his budget than the rest of baseball would even come close to allowing him to do, and like he felt he and his organization were being systematically targeted for particular disrespect. I also think he was responding to the back-channel leaked "Z is a bad dealer" comments. I'm not totally excusing him...but I think what we're seeing here is a guy trying to defend himself, getting a very creative and positive deal accomplished, and feeling justifiably VERY proud of his accomplishments...and then ROARING at the naysayers cathartically. Not the most productive thing to do...but certainly understandable.3 hours 28 min ago
SABR MattI think we should let Kuma walk and take the draft pick and make a trade for another young, controllable starter in his place. But I agree that extending K-Money and Jackson should be the top priorities in the offseason along with adding an outfielder (even if it has to be another flier like Hart was...they don't all flop and adding one is better than NOT adding one).3 hours 33 min ago
MtGrizzly...or there will not be an OF splurge and we will get another 'plug the holes with old vets and reclamation projects'. That would not surprise me one bit. Extending Jackson and maybe Kuma plus signing Seager to a longer term deal just about have to be priorities.3 hours 36 min ago
SABR MattSpec...I'm guessing their OF splurge will be a Cuban (Castillo) or a flier again...or they may use Walker in a trade in the offseason.4 hours 3 min ago
SpectatorThe interesting thing will be whether the M's make a free-agent run at Lester. (I think they'll lose Kuma after 2015.) The free-agent OF list is pretty much the same names we've been hashing over in July (Willingham, Rios, Gomes, etc.). The issue, as always, will be whether they take on a third big contract.4 hours 16 min ago
phxterryCsiems, I wouldn't count Billy Beane out yet for 2015. Now that he has more payroll allotment to work with, he can be active in the free agent market to offset trading away a number of good prospects. E.g., BB made a very savvy FA pickup last offseason with the signing of Kazmir to a 2-year deal to bolster the A's starting rotation. Ditto for the Nick Punto signing. And he did these signings early in the off-season, while teams like the M's were just dithering. If BB makes 1 or 2 similar deals in this coming offseason, he can fill roster holes without the benefit of good prospects.4 hours 37 min ago
csiemsAn unmentioned silver lining to this deadline is that Oakland is going to have to dismantle its team in the offseason and they won't have much to fill the holes. Lester is leaving without a comp pick and they traded their competitive balance pick to Boston. They've lost one of their best bats in Cespedes and their best prospect in Russell. Gomes is a free agent and won't be offered a qualifying offer. Samardzija will have two years left, so Beane could possibly trade him. I'm not giving up on this year, but 2015 looks a little bit rosier for the M's.6 hours 11 sec ago
SABR MattThe Mariners showed real creativity, real cleverness, and a real willingness to address their glaring needs. They didn't go "all in" but they most assuredly played the Price deal very well and got a reward for their efforts. I am encouraged enough to go on torturing myself...watching to see if they can resurrect their season. Tonight, I'll be watching the game. :\6 hours 18 min ago