POTD Chris Capuano: Scouting Report

Q.  How does Capuano get outs?  When he has his A game and when he has his B game?

A.  He gets outs just like George Sherrill and Sid Fernandez get outs.

Upright, balanced backstroke ....... then WHOOOOoooom the center drops and drives .... he comes sidearm around the corner .... and the ball materializes in the batter's field of view when it's about 45 feet away.

It was workin' a hundred years ago, and a hundred years on, it'll still be workin'.  Capuano's deception is a perfect 80 on the scale.

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Q.  Is he regaining his velocity after two years of TJ?

A.  He never did have velocity, or he'd have been El Sid (10-11 whiffs per).  He does not need velo. 

87-88 mph for Capuano is 93 in dog years.  ... he's had the same lame-o-tronic 87 mph his whole career.  That's what's so great.  He's guaranteed to have 87 mph again next year.  You feel me?  Capuano's game is the most repeatable game in the bigs.

It's a game less prone to the "A game" and "B game" than most guys'.  The same was true of Jarrod Washburn.  Remember his summer's worth of 1- and 2-run starts?  87 mph up, down, in, out, go get the ball Guti, what's to frazz in and out?

..............

Check the fangraphs historicals on his FB velo.  You could look it up.  Capuano hides the ball, hits super-aggressive spots in the zone, and pitches to miss bats.  He sticks pepper-encrusted forks into the tender spots of batters' strike zones.

You talk about Felix learning from Cliff Lee:  actually he could learn from this guy.  Capuano throws his FB just like Erik Bedard does:  up the ladder, in on the hands, a half-foot outside .... Capa uses deception, though, rather than quickness like Erikkkk.

..............

Watch some tape and you'll see baseball's greatest hitters grope for Capuano's 88 fastballs like they were knuckleballs.    There are times they just can't see it.  Can't see it.

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Q.  What does SSI think of his offspeed game?

A.  To watch this guy from the CF camera, you'd swear he telegraphs the offspeed from the stretch.  Both his change and slider look terrible.  Shape and release.

It just doesn't happen on the field, though.  The Run Values are real solid on both the slider and change, year after year.  :shrug:  Sometimes my eyes deceive me - here's a case in point for sure.

Capa has plenty of success both with his slider and change, throws them both a lot.  His K's with the slow stuff is a combo of the deception, and the fact that the hitters are so hysterically trying to defend the heater, I guess.  Maybe his dangerous FB makes the other pitches a lot better than they are.

...............

:okay: Sometimes on the change, it does roll off the table and he gets a Jamie Moyer deadfish sink to it.  When he does it's an absolutely unhittable pitch.

It makes you wonder, idly, whether Capuano would ever perfect the drop pitch.  If he ever did, he'd be illegal.  We don't expect him to do so, though.

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Q.  How are the mechanics?

A.  Sidearm good.  Everything else, bad.

His CG accelerates down the CL, but in a super-jerky way -- he sort of stops for no reason, and then HURLS his hips forward like a fat kid trying to do situps.

He slings the ball instead of leveraging it.  He muscles the ball.  The decel is graceless.  Taro won't like the high, inverted W. 

It's no blinkin' accident he tops out at 88, is "effectively wild," and is hurt all the time.  He's using strength to throw the ball, rather than leverage.  (If you think I'm whistling in the dark with that last line, cue up some Bedard footage and comp it to Capa.)

Just an opinion.  I know I'm not an expert.  But from an aiki standpoint it cul-de-sacs at about fourth kyu...

The good news is, he's tanned, rested, and ready to go.  He's had three years off.  2011 should be low miles on the retreads.

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mojicianI'm wussing out.5 hours 40 min ago
Tacoma RainIf Lloyd calls this just unlucky, and that the M's ran into a hot pitcher.... you can then put the fork in them DaddyO. If Lloyd raises hell about lack of effort and preparation... then maybe there is still a flicker6 hours 18 min ago
rick82In the postmortem, I think we'll say the season was lost when we failed to convince Cruz to sign with us. And it's too bad we weren't going after Chris Carter at the deadline.7 hours 9 min ago
MtGrizzly@shannondrayer: Line for Iwakuma 3 1/3 6H 7R 2BB 4K 70/47. Has given up 22 runs total in last 5 starts.7 hours 26 min ago
MtGrizzlyThe M's as currently constructed just can't have Felix and Iwakuma struggling for any meaningful stretch without dire consequences.7 hours 49 min ago
DaddyOWell that bases loaded, 3-run double by Pujols off Kuma puts a serious dent in any mojo the M's have left after the weekend series against Oakland. Albert fouled off pitch after pitch after pitch, then came through. 't would be nice to see Kendrys Morales provide even half of what a good cleanup hitter can provide.8 hours 10 min ago
DaddyONot a single deadline addition that has produced even at league average level.8 hours 50 min ago
DaddyOMariners deadline acquisitions as Mariners: Morales, .625 OPS, bat only contribution (or lack of same). Jackson, .564, but defensive contributions. Denorfia, .574, some defensive contribution. At the deadline, the Mariners needed offense. Jack totally whiffed. We're now suffering the consequences. And is there a single starting pitcher who is at the top of his game right now? Most are still pitching well but sputtering. Do it again M's. Prove me wrong, like you've done so far every time I've grown pessimistic about this team.8 hours 52 min ago
SABR MattThough that may be because our line-up has been pretty well constructed to bunch the hits...you would expect a team that has two big black holes in its line-up and places those black holes generally 7th and 8th to have a lot of hits bunched at the top of the order...possibly creating the hit clustering luck that's been written about for us in the past.16 hours 41 min ago
SABR MattFWIW, using a monty carlo simulator, a .677 OPS (the season average) generates about 3.7 R/G. We've been scoring "lucky" this season.16 hours 44 min ago
SABR MattSo basically...we're hitting the same as we always did...just not scoring as many runs.16 hours 50 min ago
MtGrizzly@GeoffBakerTIMES: #Mariners offense past 4 weeks: .235 avg, .670 OPS, 3.6 rpg. Entire season prior to that: .247 avg., .678 OPS, 4.0 rpg.18 hours 3 min ago
MtGrizzlyHe certainly should not be hitting fourth.18 hours 43 min ago
SABR MattMorales came to the plate four times yesterday...all four times he had people in scoring position. He left EIGHT MEN ON BASE. He has lost the right to his name. From now on, he is "fat, entitled slob" to me.18 hours 55 min ago
IcebreakerXTerrible day for Seattle sports. Crunched by the Chargers and barely a game against the A's. Boooring.1 day 10 hours ago
moethedogNice back to back plays in LF by Hart. It was bound to happen at least once. 2 times might have been the over under.1 day 12 hours ago
rick82Kendry Morales at DH. Hide your eyes. I'll take Brad Miller. Let's just forget this whole Morales thing.1 day 12 hours ago
moethedogCorey Hart is in LF today. Hide your eyes. Romero, for me, please.1 day 16 hours ago
DaddyOThis win today is crucial. Get it and we take the series 3-1, which anyone would have taken going in. Trouble is we're up against Lester. I agree, Matt. If we don't take this series, Saturday night may be the closest the M's get to the A's.1 day 16 hours ago
SABR MattUnless we win today, our odds of making the post-season are about 5%1 day 19 hours ago