POTD Chris Capuano: Scouting Report

Q.  How does Capuano get outs?  When he has his A game and when he has his B game?

A.  He gets outs just like George Sherrill and Sid Fernandez get outs.

Upright, balanced backstroke ....... then WHOOOOoooom the center drops and drives .... he comes sidearm around the corner .... and the ball materializes in the batter's field of view when it's about 45 feet away.

It was workin' a hundred years ago, and a hundred years on, it'll still be workin'.  Capuano's deception is a perfect 80 on the scale.

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Q.  Is he regaining his velocity after two years of TJ?

A.  He never did have velocity, or he'd have been El Sid (10-11 whiffs per).  He does not need velo. 

87-88 mph for Capuano is 93 in dog years.  ... he's had the same lame-o-tronic 87 mph his whole career.  That's what's so great.  He's guaranteed to have 87 mph again next year.  You feel me?  Capuano's game is the most repeatable game in the bigs.

It's a game less prone to the "A game" and "B game" than most guys'.  The same was true of Jarrod Washburn.  Remember his summer's worth of 1- and 2-run starts?  87 mph up, down, in, out, go get the ball Guti, what's to frazz in and out?

..............

Check the fangraphs historicals on his FB velo.  You could look it up.  Capuano hides the ball, hits super-aggressive spots in the zone, and pitches to miss bats.  He sticks pepper-encrusted forks into the tender spots of batters' strike zones.

You talk about Felix learning from Cliff Lee:  actually he could learn from this guy.  Capuano throws his FB just like Erik Bedard does:  up the ladder, in on the hands, a half-foot outside .... Capa uses deception, though, rather than quickness like Erikkkk.

..............

Watch some tape and you'll see baseball's greatest hitters grope for Capuano's 88 fastballs like they were knuckleballs.    There are times they just can't see it.  Can't see it.

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Q.  What does SSI think of his offspeed game?

A.  To watch this guy from the CF camera, you'd swear he telegraphs the offspeed from the stretch.  Both his change and slider look terrible.  Shape and release.

It just doesn't happen on the field, though.  The Run Values are real solid on both the slider and change, year after year.  :shrug:  Sometimes my eyes deceive me - here's a case in point for sure.

Capa has plenty of success both with his slider and change, throws them both a lot.  His K's with the slow stuff is a combo of the deception, and the fact that the hitters are so hysterically trying to defend the heater, I guess.  Maybe his dangerous FB makes the other pitches a lot better than they are.

...............

:okay: Sometimes on the change, it does roll off the table and he gets a Jamie Moyer deadfish sink to it.  When he does it's an absolutely unhittable pitch.

It makes you wonder, idly, whether Capuano would ever perfect the drop pitch.  If he ever did, he'd be illegal.  We don't expect him to do so, though.

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Q.  How are the mechanics?

A.  Sidearm good.  Everything else, bad.

His CG accelerates down the CL, but in a super-jerky way -- he sort of stops for no reason, and then HURLS his hips forward like a fat kid trying to do situps.

He slings the ball instead of leveraging it.  He muscles the ball.  The decel is graceless.  Taro won't like the high, inverted W. 

It's no blinkin' accident he tops out at 88, is "effectively wild," and is hurt all the time.  He's using strength to throw the ball, rather than leverage.  (If you think I'm whistling in the dark with that last line, cue up some Bedard footage and comp it to Capa.)

Just an opinion.  I know I'm not an expert.  But from an aiki standpoint it cul-de-sacs at about fourth kyu...

The good news is, he's tanned, rested, and ready to go.  He's had three years off.  2011 should be low miles on the retreads.

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DaddyOWhen Baker came to Seattle he figured out what this franchise was all about and proceeded to hammer on it's deficiencies over and over and over again until many got sick of hearing about it. But Baker did something no Mariners beat writer had ever done before...investigative reporting. He did his homework, and he didn't pull his punches in order to retain access, something every M's beat writer had previously done, and something characteristic of the current crop of writers. Baker was like a predator who, once locked onto his prey, wouldn't let go. As such, yes, there were times where it seemed like he was in a feeding frenzy (a sort of insanity). But I'd take Baker over any other Mariners' beat writer in history.31 min 14 sec ago
moethedogDelete "At least one will be" in the last shout. Sigh....35 min 43 sec ago
moethedogThe daily Jackson report is really good: DJ with two hits including a homer. Pizzano with three hits, he's clearly found his stroke or isn't getting bad luck BABIP'ed anymore. Kivlehan with 2 hits, a double and a triple. I'm willing to bet that two of those three guys make an impact in Seattle. At least one will be Paolini only had one hit but it was his 26th double. Landuzuri gives up 5 hits in 7 innings. Now 5-2.9 hours 50 min ago
moethedogMatt, I'll disagree. The guy is rusty, clearly not in mid-season form and yet he just allowed two hits, no more. Young pitchers figure out the walk deal. They rarely lose the stuff deal.10 hours 1 min ago
merksLooks like the M's won an additional draft pick next year after the 2nd round from the competitive balance draft today. It's the type of draft pick that can be traded which is pretty cool in theory.12 hours 10 min ago
tjmThe Colon comp isn't Chris Young, it's Greg Maddux - same pitch mix, same late movement. You can pitch approximately forever with this stuff. And, if it escaped our attention, Baker was compltely insane. As Doc sez, I mean that in a good way. Guy's a bad dog working a bone. don't go near him.12 hours 19 min ago
MtGrizzlyDivish wants to be a sportswriter. Baker wanted more. And got it because he worked his toosh off while on the M's beat.12 hours 21 min ago
DaddyObsr, I COMPLETELY agree re: Baker. Divish simply does not produce the quantity or quality of content that Baker did. I can't figure out why, cause he shows at TNT that he had the chops. Apparently he just doesn't work as hard as Baker did.12 hours 36 min ago
IcebreakerXJudging from the shoutbox, Walker is sounding like a Rafael Soriano redux. Which must also mean we'll trade him for Jason Hammel.12 hours 40 min ago
mojicianI can't take many more of these recklessly tweeted rumors that are loosely based on anonymous triple hearsay connecting and disconnecting the Mariners to good baseball players: "Sources say that a rival exec thinks that Stanton would be a good fit for the Mariners and Seattle might be interested.".............Can some one PM me if the Mariners sign someone? @Wentmlbrumorinsane13 hours 9 min ago
bsrMan do I miss Baker on the M's beat. I know I for one took for granted his incredible productivity as a writer and analyst. It's like a sleepy ghost town over at the ST M's blog since he left. Dutton and Drayer put out the occasional analysis piece but it's mostly just the daily facts. There's nowhere to get much insider M's analysis these days.13 hours 18 min ago
DaddyOColon, of course, was working the edges.13 hours 51 min ago
DaddyOYou know, that's my impression too. When guys like Smoak and Ackley get meatball fastballs, center cut, they mostly flat out miss 'em. I'm sympathetic when I see a guy who's struggling get rung up on a pitch well off the plate, but if you can't hit centered fastballs with at least average regularity you have no business being at the plate.13 hours 52 min ago
MtGrizzlyI can't remember a team that hits the FB worse than this M's team. Really pathetic.14 hours 14 min ago
phxterrySince 7/3/14, M's are 6-10, losing 4 out of 5 series, including series losses to the White Sox, the Twinkies, and the Mets. In that 16 game stretch, the M's are scoring runs at the rate of 2.16 runs/9 innings. The M's play games on 17 out of the next 18 days, with 13 of those games against teams with records above .500. Before tonight's games, the M's lead in the second WC race is down to 1 game, and it could shrink tonight. If the M's continue their current losing ways over the next 2.5 weeks, they will be out of the WC race.15 hours 7 min ago
DaddyOA-NOTH-er game where we finished a buck short because of pathetic offense. A-NOTH-er season of offensive frustration. A-NOTH-er season where obvious position player holes have been allowed to just continue and continue. This is ridiculous. And yes, rick82, it was clear that Taijuan's beaning of that Mets hitter threw him off his game. He was sailing after the first inning until that moment.15 hours 32 min ago
rick82Happy Felix/Kuma weekend...I pray.15 hours 37 min ago
rick82I didn't see the game, but looking at the details, it looks like Taijuan started rough, really righted the ship, and after he hit Tejada really struggled with his control. I wonder if hitting the guy threw him off his game and made him tentative. Also, yeah, he's still struggling, but Hart is giving good at bats in late game situations the last two days. I've seen enough Smoak, tiring of LoMo but we need a left handed bat not owned by Chavez on the bench. Hart at first, Montero DH, LoMo as situation calls for it, and then see what Santa brings for August.15 hours 38 min ago
jemanjiOne thing a game like today's -- oops, a 2 weeks like today's -- is create an unpleasant buzz around baseball, that the Mariners are ineptly wasting a good season …. driving them to "get across the finish line" for a couple bats. Or not ...16 hours 56 min ago
jemanjiChris Young has been doing this shtick to everybody else for about 20 starts … don't dish it out if you can't eat it … :- )16 hours 58 min ago