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POTD Brandon League

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SABR Matt's picture

THat's scenario 4, Doc.

Aardsma is now a big name closer and if the Mariners had a deal in the works that sent Aardsma to a team in depserate need for a closer, they go get Brandon League and a prospect and flip Aardsma for another bat and some more prospects.

jemanji's picture
Submitted by jemanji on

to the "flip" than David Aardsma.

I don' wanna be anywhere near Ground Zero when the land mine goes off...  question is, what you can get for a shibboleth-ic "closer" like Aardsma.

Maybe Franklin Gutierrez and Mike Carp, I guess.

SABR Matt's picture

You get undervalued commodities that turn into all-stars. :D

If he could flip Aardsma to a team in need of a closer for a couple of nice hitting prospects...I would celebrate.

But first thing's first...who's the prospect...if it's Arencibio...then the first deal is really quite poor.

Taro's picture
Submitted by Taro on

League was the #1 reliever on my list of relievers I'd like to trade for (I'm kind of suprised to see actually go out and get him). I like the idea of acquiring him in a vaccuum, but for Brandon Morrow it doesn't make sense. I'm going to wait to see who that prospect is.

okdan's picture
Submitted by okdan on

Interesting. You haven't been too high on Morrow in the past Taro, and even you think this could be a bit dissapointing.

I will be sad if Morrow is shipped off just to clean house of Bavasi picks. Hopefully we're getting a little more in return than it looks as of now.

Taro's picture
Submitted by Taro on

I'm not high on Morrow.. I think hes got something like a 90% chance of being a total bust, but I am pretty high on his trade value. :-)

jemanji's picture
Submitted by jemanji on

Interesting!

What was the appeal that had him number one?  The factors listed above, or?

Taro's picture
Submitted by Taro on

The change/split. The addition of that pitch (on top of the overwhelming velocity, high GB%, and solid command) turned League into one of the top relievers in the game in '09, and yet not a lot of people have caught onto it yet. :-)

His ERA was incredibly misleading in 2009. An ERA of 4.58 and an xFIP of 3.16, but League is great bet to even top that xFIP mark in '10. A 14.3 SwS% , 71% contact rate against and O-Swing% of 32.9 put him in elite company. When you combine that with a high GB% and above-average command you have one of the top RPs in the league. 

If hes healthy, League is going to be one heck of a late inning arm.

I suggested him as a mid-year target last year along with guys like Smith and also sugested him as my #1 RP target this offseason. Of course I also expected to be able to steal him away from the Jays.. Morrow is a very steep price, which means that prospect is likely going to be a significant one.

SABR Matt's picture

I love me some high K/BB, high GB/FB power arms.  As you know.

I just think you have to do better than a really good reliever for Morrow...he was our best trade chip left.

If you get League and Wallace or (dare I dream) Snyder...then it's a different ballgame.

jemanji's picture
Submitted by jemanji on

League IS one of those guys where, the fans are just behind the curve.  Even and especially the 'analyst' fans.

Seriously, after watching some vid, you could make a career off either one of League's pitches.  He's Sasaki plus 5 mph, or Armando Benitez plus a Bryan Harvey fork.

The only thing that isn't there is the rep.  Yet.

 

SABR Matt's picture

...but we need to trade Aardsma.  Because Aardsma is not going to be cool with stepping aside for League, and leveraging league as your primary set-up man might tick off Mark Lowe.  That pen is a tight knit group y'know.

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