Ten Big Decisions

It's a very simple problem, from the GM chair

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=== Eyes Slideways ===

[COMIC PANEL ONE] You kiddies are desperately hoping for something to occur that might distract SSI, and cause it to talk about something other than soldiers killing people and breaking things.  

[COMIC PANEL TWO] Hector Noesi occurs today.  

[COMIC PANEL THREE]  ::crickets::  :: Dr D thrashes about for a punch line ::

Where is Jeff Sullivan when you really need him?

..........

The infield battles are not very interesting.  Well, it's interesting to see whether the M's will keep only two catchers, and whether they can find room for Alex Liddi or Nick Franklin.  But 1B-2B-SS-3B are set.

The 5-man outfield rotation is kind of interesting.  However, all of the outfielders other than Morse and possibly Saunders are of roughly equal talent.  Whether the M's give time to Casper Wells or Jason Bay is unlikely to swing the balance of power in the West.

The M's are loaded in the bullpen.  That's not a battle; it's an impending bloodbath.  For the other teams.  I know a couple of pricey AL West teams who had better get their leads by the 6th inning.  

..........

However, the starting rotation battle is both (1) fascinating and (2) a pivot point for the M's presumed future domination of hardball as we know it.

Cinderella teams occur, and usually they occur because Billy Beane finds five starting pitchers who lock you down.  The M's cleanest path to a big season is by getting a surprise rotation going.  It could like totally happen.  It is most heinously the job of the shot-callers to MAKE it happen.  They can't afford to be feebleminds on their rotation calls.

Capt Jack and Sgt Wedge can afford to indulge their biases on Robert Andino or Jason Bay or Raul Ibanez or three catchers.  They gotta get the rotation right.

...........

Bill James learned, once he got inside baseball, that Theo Epstein's GM seasons depended on 10 or 12 mammoth decisions he made each season, and whether those turned out to be the right calls.  HERE is where they gotta get it right.  

If you look back from November 2013, and the Mariners turned out to have a great season, it says here it will probably have been -- primarily -- because they made the right calls in the rotation.

NEXT

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moethedogWell heck. Franklin only has two more hits tonight. Just a double for Liddi. Nothing useful here.2 hours 20 min ago
SABR Mattthat seems to be true at all levels, too. Not just the players...not just the manager...not just the front office...there seems to be no clear and coherent plan of action anywhere3 hours 11 min ago
DaddyOIt feels as if we are fans of a team that has wandered into the desert, got disoriented, and lost it's way.3 hours 51 min ago
SABR MattI agree with Stone that Montero and Ackley need to clear their heads in AAA...and I like the idea of looking at Franklin and Triunfel. I am not sure Bonderman will help much, but it's worth a shot...he's an unknown whereas Harang is a known. And I'd be looking to land a thumper for the OF at the trade deadline not for 2013 but to build around.4 hours 38 min ago
phxterrySo SABR Matt - what's your prescription for the M's right now?5 hours 2 min ago
phxterrycorrection: "Smoak's lower OPS against LHPs."5 hours 18 min ago
phxterryMal, appreciate your addressing my question why Wedgie would start Smoak > Montero against a LHP despite Smoak's lower OPS against RHPs. Unfortunately, Smoak was 0-4 with 3 K's and stranded 5 baserunners, but Montero might have done worse. So do you see any situation now when Wedgie should play Montero, other than the 2 days a week when Montero, who has been reduced to back-up catcher, gives Shoppach some rest? If so, what would those situations be?5 hours 20 min ago
Bat571actually, Andino is somewhat higher than .474; I missed something somewhere - but the idea remains. He's not getting better, he's been between .450 and.500 for a month or so. Ryan has started climbing out of the septic tank and has come from below .400 to where he is now in the last two weeks. And though he has muffed a few plays recently, he's still BY FAR the better glove.5 hours 49 min ago
SABR Matt*sigh*...I miss being competitive into September................5 hours 54 min ago
Bat571Of note, looks like Ryan, with his double, is now at .473 OPS, while Andino is at .474. Can we really afford both, when only one is a superior glove? Triunfel and/or Franklin, please. Ryan can play all 3 IF glove positions, so losing Andino, now that the compressed sked and road trips are behind us for now, is not that much of a loss in flexibility, if either Carlos or Nick replaces him.6 hours 4 min ago
phxterrySerious question: M's now down 0-7; let's assume they lose and record is 20-27, with Wildcard playoff hopes essentially dead. Why wouldn't the M's clear the roster of 1-year older vets unlikely to return next year and bring up young-uns from AAA: 1) Trade Morales 2) Trade or DFA Bay and Rauuuuul 3) DFA Andino 4) Bring up AAA OFers Peguero and Thames 5) Bring up Triunfel & Franklin. Why would you continue to play old vets who won't be on the team next year?6 hours 17 min ago
phxterryFunny quote of the day from Nathan Bishop at LL, alongside today's lineup; "Jesus Montero is not in the dog house. He is not allowed inside at all. He has to sleep outside in the rain." Seriously, if Wedgie won't play Montero as DH against a LHP, what is the point of having Montero on the big league roster? Maybe he can learn by watching Shoppach. Oh wait, we tried that last year, Montero was supposed to sit and learn by watching that fundamentally sound catcher, Miguel Olivo.6 hours 47 min ago
blissedjI kid, I kid. Still love the M's but good grief let's get Andino out of here please. I need Franklin playing SS/2B 5 times a week. That won't hurt Ackley or Ryan. Let 'em compete, best 2 win. Do it again next year with Miller. Don't see how Z and Wedge can sit on their hands much longer. Harang and Saunders limping along. So many areas change can be explored!6 hours 55 min ago
MtGrizzlyThe bullpen isn't going to make it to the ASB without arms falling off at this rate.6 hours 58 min ago
SABR Mattwow guys...you're depressing me more than the team is.7 hours 5 min ago
blissedj"A new day, the same old way", "True to the black and blue", "Ready to Play (but still in Tacoma)", "Donde esta la mojo?", Mariners pitchers adopt "2 outs, so what?"7 hours 6 min ago
phxterryWow - Angels have 24 hits and 18 runs in 10.1 innings against M's pitchers.7 hours 11 min ago
phxterryMariner Fun Fact: When the M's record was 20-21, ESPN had the chances for the M's making the post-season playoffs at 16%. After 5 straight losses and the record at 20-26, the chances are down to 7%. So it looks as if 2 or 3 more losses will drive that possibility to essentially zero.7 hours 23 min ago
blissedjWow, one turn through the rotation to rip the heart right out of the season. Calling Dr. D to surgery.7 hours 26 min ago
malcontent...wild CJ Wilson7 hours 29 min ago