SSI HOT SEAT - mini Mariners 8

Talia Shire "can't bear to watch" Dept.

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HOT SEAT:  Wells and Bay trade spinning backheels to the jaw on days 1 and 2.  Both fall simultaneously.  CREED WILL RETAIN HIS TITLE!  IF NEITHER OF THEM CAN ....

Dr. D:  You know what's really going on in spring training, right?

Imagine if Baseball Prospectus had a little metric column that said "Bat Launch," and indexed it to average, and some hitters were at 120 and some at 80.  If they could bottle that stat and get the distributing license, their yearly subscription would be $129.95.  Wow!  Alvin Davis was always at 127, but this year suddenly he's at 79.  Better not draft that kid.

But that's what Wedge, and the other boots on the ground, are doing.  They're watching the players physically.  They're looking at body language, spring in the step, and using their intuition to grok whether a player is prepared for an UP or DWN season.

They're not always right.  But any fan who doesn't RESPECK' it is kidding himself.

We know who Wells is.  Jason Bay is an ol' friend who had a beer with Capt Jack and got an invite.  The HR score is 1-1 and Bay is wayyyyy ahead.

.............

I know nobody axed me, but if anybody did, the M's got no bidness in this barrio.  Stubbing out Casper Wells in order to take one last roach-clipped toke off Jason Bay, that's letting your heart think for your head.  No way in the world, man, esPECIally now that the RBI's are in the bank for this ballclub.

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HOT SEAT:  Morse putting on Russ Branyan-type displays in batting practice, sending the tailgaters scrambling under their plastic awnings ... and then going out into the game and rifling a shot into right-center field for a single.

Dr. D:  I never, ever, wever say "I told you so."  You've been reading a long time.  You know I'm above that, and especially above declaring victory on February 24th.

"Average Player."  What a JOKE.  :- P   

SAT comparison problem:  Michael Morse is to Bret Boone -- as -- Gimli is to ______ (Samwise Gamgee).  ... 'twas the last time we had an MMA-compatible cleanup hitter who shortened up with two strikes.

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HOT SEAT:  Super Slo-sMoak with a notable lefty homer.

Dr. D:  No word on whether it busted out a light slow-motion, sparks flying into Robert Duvall and a girlfriend in the stands taking 20 seconds to raise her hands to her cheeks.  But it's the first game of spring training, so no.  The lights weren't on.

Some guys actually do blast out of the gate, based on a revolutionary winter; I remember one year Butch Wynegar spent the winter hitting off 6' video recordings of pitchers in his barn, ripped up spring training, and had a big year.

Interest factor slight to moderate.  Check back in five games.  If Smoak really is slugging .700 a week from now, eyes slideways.  But he probably won't be.

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Dr. D!  You are Off the Hot Seat,

Lonnie of MC

 

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Comments

Except I admit that just yesterday I started thinking that maybe Bay was a good pickup. I'm not saying that I think he was just that I always figured the chance to be so low as not to be worth really noting but now I'm a bit more intrigued. At the time it was an ok crap shoot, then Ibanez signed and Morse was acquired, then the revelation that Morse was slated for OF duty mainly. I'd have been pretty happy with the outfield outlook without Bay, but I'm watching a bit closer now.

Hultzen throwing the ball 7 times to get 2 K's and a weak grounder was pretty eye opening. 1 walk given up by the whole staff too. If we ignore Noesi (since hardly anyone is hoping for him) so far the guys battling to start have been phenomenal. If it keeps up I'll start combining the stats, but it's so early.

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Bay hit his off Tyson Ross, who's big problem is control and not stuff, and he hit it off a 95 mph fastball after Wells struck out. Wells hit his off a 28 year old that reached AAA for the second time last season. I don't know anything about Brandon Kloess (Wells' victim), but he was the 5th guy the Padres ran out. Friday, the Mariners ran out Chance Ruff in, and Saturday they ran out Bobby Laframboise, and neither of those guys are making the bullpen out of camp, and neither are going to be the first callup if someone gets hurt (both could admittedly hand an ML bullpen role, but this is the Mariners Bullpen of Ultimate doom we're talking about).

The point is, if Bay looks like 95% of his old .900 self, if he can pull an .850 OPS over 400 or so PA, well, would you rather have Reggie Sanders or Chris Young? I don't know if there is a right answer.

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benihanaMontero with another Tacoma HR. 2/5 with a walk over the double header. That .400/.500/.800 line today lowers his HOME totals since being sent down. How many old man flails of Hart must we suffer?1 hour 18 min ago
rick82Erasmo was optioned tonight.2 hours 29 min ago
Tacoma RainSo who goes down so Taijuan can pitch tomorrow???2 hours 34 min ago
rick82Man, where is Russell Branyan when you need him. Can anyone on this team play first? Or DH, for heaven's sake?2 hours 57 min ago
phxterryVery nice start by E-Ram: 7 innings and 2 runs; one of which should be un-earned as JJ played a single into a triple. 10 K's and 2 BB's. That is the E-Ram from 2012; hope he is back to stay. Wish the M's had some offensive punch and could score some runs now and then.3 hours 21 min ago
Tacoma RainCan someone prove to me that Corey Hart is not injured...3 hours 37 min ago
moethedogAnd if we're really chasing Casey McGehee above others (unless he's our complete fallback position) then it indicates how scattered we've been in trying to find a bat to help. It would be nice to assume he learned a bunch in Japan last year. And it might be realistic to assume his .370 BABIP (.398 vR) is unsustainable for very long. Take your pick. We need a 3B/2B/1B LHB exactly why?3 hours 45 min ago
moethedogphx, The M's are frustrated that a potential trading partner is trying to get the best of them? Really? Then it is a comment on the wacky attitude of the FO. That's the Rays' job...to school every team in a trade, just like it is the M's job. If we're really that frustrated about such a trade it indicate how anal we've become about that move to the exclusion of others. The Rays job is not to "give" the M's anything. And we're frustrated?4 hours 8 min ago
SABR MattMal...that's a skill McGehee actually owns. He also has a good batting eye. He's not a huge power hitter, but he would be a nice lead-off option in Seattle. He would be used in RF.4 hours 46 min ago
malcontentI don't really understand the interest in McGehee; he plays 3rd and 2nd, and hasn't shown even the limited power he used to have, relying on a .370 BABiP to get a decent batting line. Am I missing something?5 hours 15 min ago
Bat571Since the Marlins have a CRUMMY infield situation and like Latin players -- Noriega and Almonte with Tenbrink (who could step in at 3b immediately) for McGehee? Would Leutge or Bawcom be of interest in their bullpen if they trade guys from there? I know, we'd probably have to include someone like Sanchez, Diaz, Marte, or Erasmo to get their attention -- and they'd probably want Franklin in any case.5 hours 34 min ago
phxterryBSR - Good catch yesterday about M's sources whining to Peter Gammons that the Rays have been stringing the M's along in trade talks, with no intention of completing a a major trade before 7/29 - 7/31. And they won't make any major trade before the deadline unless they have lost all hope of contending in 2014. Heck, if the Rays win 6 out of their next 8, they might be buyers at the deadline. IMO, the normally tight-lipped M's FO leaked that info to Gammons to ensure the Rays and the rest of MLB knew how angry they were at being played by the Rays. Mission accomplished for the Rays - the leading team for the second WC spot did not upgrade in early-to-mid July while the Rays were playing red-hot baseball and closing the gap.5 hours 53 min ago
phxterryGood article in LL today by Scott Weber on Miller's latest batting funk over the last month. Lloyd has responded by running Willie Ballgame out there at SS yesterday and again today. Miller's streakiness is just one more reason that GMZ needs to upgrade 1B / DH / Corner OF offensively6 hours 8 min ago
mojicianNo scouting report up yet? Here goes: Legend tells of a player who washed out of the Major leagues and found himself in Sendai, Japan. Through error, he became accustomed to the brutal off speed game of NPB pitchers, and began to "let the ball get deeper into the zone" to hit the ball to all fields. He now controls the trajectory of the ball and bends it according to where the fielders are not. Armed with a technique some thought was only possessed by Ichiro and Cano, McGehee has returned to the United States with one thought on his mind: Revenge.6 hours 31 min ago
SABR MattTHAT...would actually be a nice pick-up7 hours 16 min ago
mojicianNew Heyman Rumor: M's making trade call on Casey McGehee of the Marlins.7 hours 38 min ago
moethedogHooray.....for Fangraphs pointing out that Ty Kelly is something worth having and using. Since we have him I would prefer we use him. Hooray for Taylor, too. But I'm with Beni and Matt, too. Booo Booo Hiss to the M's for watching July 22nd come and (nearly) go and STILL they haven't made any move to upgrade our lineup. None. Holy Moly! Booooo Hisssss!7 hours 54 min ago
DaddyOThe A's are a different matter. They are matching us in pitching and nearly match the Angels in offense. They have a +150 run differential. Hard to run down a club like that unless they have a rash of injuries and fall completely apart. It occurs to me that maybe Jack is looking at this very fact, that the 2nd Wild Card isn't that much different from the 1st Wild Card, so why try. I dunno. To me, we haven't got the 2nd Wild Card in the bag, and our first playoff appearance in over a decade might be worth actually trying to secure instead of fiddling around (sarcasm intended).7 hours 56 min ago
DaddyOmojician, actually, I was being sarcastic. Sorry I didn't make that clear. The M's have made all SORTS of roster moves, but it's just been rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic for the positions affected (with the exception of the Almonte for Jones swap in CF). The Angles have actually improved their bullpen, SIGNIFICANTLY, with all their moves. What have we accomplished? Squat. We have the same black holes at DH, in LF (so far), in RF (except for when Saunders was healthy, but even then he alternated flashes of production with periods of complete washout, like he always has). Like Matt, I've grown frustrated at the lack of urgency in fixing VERY fixable problems that would have long since vaulted us from 2nd Wild Card contenders into a serious challenge of the Angels.8 hours 31 sec ago
GrumpyDon't forget Ackley can play a plus 2B also... He may look like an option to those clubs too.8 hours 31 min ago