SSI HOT SEAT - mini Mariners 8

Talia Shire "can't bear to watch" Dept.

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HOT SEAT:  Wells and Bay trade spinning backheels to the jaw on days 1 and 2.  Both fall simultaneously.  CREED WILL RETAIN HIS TITLE!  IF NEITHER OF THEM CAN ....

Dr. D:  You know what's really going on in spring training, right?

Imagine if Baseball Prospectus had a little metric column that said "Bat Launch," and indexed it to average, and some hitters were at 120 and some at 80.  If they could bottle that stat and get the distributing license, their yearly subscription would be $129.95.  Wow!  Alvin Davis was always at 127, but this year suddenly he's at 79.  Better not draft that kid.

But that's what Wedge, and the other boots on the ground, are doing.  They're watching the players physically.  They're looking at body language, spring in the step, and using their intuition to grok whether a player is prepared for an UP or DWN season.

They're not always right.  But any fan who doesn't RESPECK' it is kidding himself.

We know who Wells is.  Jason Bay is an ol' friend who had a beer with Capt Jack and got an invite.  The HR score is 1-1 and Bay is wayyyyy ahead.

.............

I know nobody axed me, but if anybody did, the M's got no bidness in this barrio.  Stubbing out Casper Wells in order to take one last roach-clipped toke off Jason Bay, that's letting your heart think for your head.  No way in the world, man, esPECIally now that the RBI's are in the bank for this ballclub.

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HOT SEAT:  Morse putting on Russ Branyan-type displays in batting practice, sending the tailgaters scrambling under their plastic awnings ... and then going out into the game and rifling a shot into right-center field for a single.

Dr. D:  I never, ever, wever say "I told you so."  You've been reading a long time.  You know I'm above that, and especially above declaring victory on February 24th.

"Average Player."  What a JOKE.  :- P   

SAT comparison problem:  Michael Morse is to Bret Boone -- as -- Gimli is to ______ (Samwise Gamgee).  ... 'twas the last time we had an MMA-compatible cleanup hitter who shortened up with two strikes.

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HOT SEAT:  Super Slo-sMoak with a notable lefty homer.

Dr. D:  No word on whether it busted out a light slow-motion, sparks flying into Robert Duvall and a girlfriend in the stands taking 20 seconds to raise her hands to her cheeks.  But it's the first game of spring training, so no.  The lights weren't on.

Some guys actually do blast out of the gate, based on a revolutionary winter; I remember one year Butch Wynegar spent the winter hitting off 6' video recordings of pitchers in his barn, ripped up spring training, and had a big year.

Interest factor slight to moderate.  Check back in five games.  If Smoak really is slugging .700 a week from now, eyes slideways.  But he probably won't be.

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Dr. D!  You are Off the Hot Seat,

Lonnie of MC

 

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Comments

Except I admit that just yesterday I started thinking that maybe Bay was a good pickup. I'm not saying that I think he was just that I always figured the chance to be so low as not to be worth really noting but now I'm a bit more intrigued. At the time it was an ok crap shoot, then Ibanez signed and Morse was acquired, then the revelation that Morse was slated for OF duty mainly. I'd have been pretty happy with the outfield outlook without Bay, but I'm watching a bit closer now.

Hultzen throwing the ball 7 times to get 2 K's and a weak grounder was pretty eye opening. 1 walk given up by the whole staff too. If we ignore Noesi (since hardly anyone is hoping for him) so far the guys battling to start have been phenomenal. If it keeps up I'll start combining the stats, but it's so early.

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Bay hit his off Tyson Ross, who's big problem is control and not stuff, and he hit it off a 95 mph fastball after Wells struck out. Wells hit his off a 28 year old that reached AAA for the second time last season. I don't know anything about Brandon Kloess (Wells' victim), but he was the 5th guy the Padres ran out. Friday, the Mariners ran out Chance Ruff in, and Saturday they ran out Bobby Laframboise, and neither of those guys are making the bullpen out of camp, and neither are going to be the first callup if someone gets hurt (both could admittedly hand an ML bullpen role, but this is the Mariners Bullpen of Ultimate doom we're talking about).

The point is, if Bay looks like 95% of his old .900 self, if he can pull an .850 OPS over 400 or so PA, well, would you rather have Reggie Sanders or Chris Young? I don't know if there is a right answer.

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Bat571If the Angels can't keep up their winning with the remaining pitching, they're vulnerable. And the A's keep losing (2-8 in their last 10). But Paxton and Elias have got to keep the M's in games, too. But Felix-Young-'Kuma in Boston is as good as it gets, especially with the Sawx pitching in some disarray also. Time to pick up some ground.11 hours 25 sec ago
SABR Mattwow...saw the highlight of that...he's done for the year, no question. brutal. Both Oakland and Anaheim showing us their keister...but if we play like we played today, we don't deserve to win.11 hours 6 min ago
MtGrizzlyReally ugly looking knee injury for Richards.11 hours 36 min ago
MtGrizzlyGarrett Richards got taken off the field on a stretcher. Angels pitching is a wreck.11 hours 40 min ago
SABR Mattwell this is a dog of a game. Mariners playing like the bad news bears again.16 hours 54 min ago
mojicianFollowing Pax on Gameday: He can't control his curve ball, his first hit in the third was from a changeup that was both hanged and tubed, the Phillies aren't swinging at any of his off speed, and Pax's pitch count is at 59 at the end of the third. The fast ball is located at both sides of the plate and velocity is topping out at 96. This start has one run five n' dive written all over it. What's wrong with that? Puzzling Pax is still better than most teams' number two starter. We haven't seen enough of the Bartender in a while anyway.17 hours 47 min ago
SABR MattPhilly is considered by many in the game to be the dumbest organization, from top to bottom, in all of baseball. Lots of folks heavily criticize their manager for not using his brain, for picking favorites, for ruining quality starts, etc. And of course, we all know what people think of Ruben Amaro.21 hours 13 min ago
moethedogWas checking out the Southern League batting leaders to get an idea of how Kivlehan rates in that league (very well, thank you) and the year that Cubbies farm hand Kris Bryant is having jumps out at you. He's the #2 pick in the draft from '13. Between AA and AAA this year (40% of his PA's at AAA) he's .333-.441-.678 with 34 2B's and 40 HR's. He does K in 27% of his PA's but he walks in 14% of them, too. One scouting report gives his extrodinary power with the most explosive rotation sine Stanton. Plays 3B with a plus arm and quick reactions, so you can add him to Addison Russel + Javier Baez and the Cubs may have a heck of an IF pretty soon.21 hours 38 min ago
moethedogMinor league report: Romero is pretty amazingly hot! In his current 12-game hitting streak he is 26-53 with 4 2B's/2 3B's/4 HR's. In his last 21 games he has had 8 3-hit games and 5 more 2 hit games. His K rate is dropping. AAA #'s for the year: .371-.405-.716.... Nice! And with Blash in AA, Kivlehan played CF last night. Don't you get the idea that the M's are really high on him? Oh, Deej whacks two more homers as Bat pointed out.21 hours 50 min ago
OBFHaving watched Chris Taylor for a while... Brad Miller is not a very good defensive SS... :( Hopefully he refinds his bat...1 day 10 hours ago
OBFHe had looked... uncomfortable... that whole inning, doing more stretches than even usual... :/ Including some weird box squaty things... hopefully just a cramp or something...1 day 10 hours ago
MtGrizzlyI hope Iwakuma didn't hurt anything on that last play1 day 10 hours ago
OBFMean while Detroit storms back from down four to tie it up... :( :( :( come on Rays!1 day 10 hours ago
OBFWhy'd they leave Burnett in so long? He did a nice job getting them into the 8th only giving up 3 runs, but then they made him pitch the eighth (or most of it ) while already over 100 pitches (ended at 125) and he gave up two more runs, which against tonight's Kuma seems like an insurmountable lead... I am not complaining... just wonderin' ;)1 day 10 hours ago
OBFWhat's with all the steals tonight?1 day 10 hours ago
Bat571Tyler O'Neill with another HR tonight. Talk about doing penance - that's 3 this week and 7 since returning.1 day 10 hours ago
OBFKuma is just MOWIN' em down tonight! 10 k's now... Also Zunino needs some sort of award... I have lost track of how many borderline or plain old balls that he has gotten called strikes on tonight...1 day 10 hours ago
Bat571Blash with a HR, Deej with 2 HRs, Kivlehan 2-4, Lara 1-3. Brewers former #1 pick Jed Bradley lasted 3.2 IP. Again, that lineup must be fun to face....not!1 day 11 hours ago
merksJim Callis @jimcallisMLB · 6h New @MLBPipeline Perspective: Who's baseball's best corner OF prospect? I say it's Alex Jackson. http://atmlb.com/VDIGCU @Mariners Which is nice. Also DJ Peterson with 2 HR's tonight giving him a total of 28 on the year.1 day 12 hours ago
OBFGlad to see Ackley proving his little mini slump was just that... mini :) single and 2 doubles yesterday a walk (SB and run) and a double already today :)1 day 12 hours ago