SSI HOT SEAT - mini Mariners 8

Talia Shire "can't bear to watch" Dept.

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HOT SEAT:  Wells and Bay trade spinning backheels to the jaw on days 1 and 2.  Both fall simultaneously.  CREED WILL RETAIN HIS TITLE!  IF NEITHER OF THEM CAN ....

Dr. D:  You know what's really going on in spring training, right?

Imagine if Baseball Prospectus had a little metric column that said "Bat Launch," and indexed it to average, and some hitters were at 120 and some at 80.  If they could bottle that stat and get the distributing license, their yearly subscription would be $129.95.  Wow!  Alvin Davis was always at 127, but this year suddenly he's at 79.  Better not draft that kid.

But that's what Wedge, and the other boots on the ground, are doing.  They're watching the players physically.  They're looking at body language, spring in the step, and using their intuition to grok whether a player is prepared for an UP or DWN season.

They're not always right.  But any fan who doesn't RESPECK' it is kidding himself.

We know who Wells is.  Jason Bay is an ol' friend who had a beer with Capt Jack and got an invite.  The HR score is 1-1 and Bay is wayyyyy ahead.

.............

I know nobody axed me, but if anybody did, the M's got no bidness in this barrio.  Stubbing out Casper Wells in order to take one last roach-clipped toke off Jason Bay, that's letting your heart think for your head.  No way in the world, man, esPECIally now that the RBI's are in the bank for this ballclub.

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HOT SEAT:  Morse putting on Russ Branyan-type displays in batting practice, sending the tailgaters scrambling under their plastic awnings ... and then going out into the game and rifling a shot into right-center field for a single.

Dr. D:  I never, ever, wever say "I told you so."  You've been reading a long time.  You know I'm above that, and especially above declaring victory on February 24th.

"Average Player."  What a JOKE.  :- P   

SAT comparison problem:  Michael Morse is to Bret Boone -- as -- Gimli is to ______ (Samwise Gamgee).  ... 'twas the last time we had an MMA-compatible cleanup hitter who shortened up with two strikes.

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HOT SEAT:  Super Slo-sMoak with a notable lefty homer.

Dr. D:  No word on whether it busted out a light slow-motion, sparks flying into Robert Duvall and a girlfriend in the stands taking 20 seconds to raise her hands to her cheeks.  But it's the first game of spring training, so no.  The lights weren't on.

Some guys actually do blast out of the gate, based on a revolutionary winter; I remember one year Butch Wynegar spent the winter hitting off 6' video recordings of pitchers in his barn, ripped up spring training, and had a big year.

Interest factor slight to moderate.  Check back in five games.  If Smoak really is slugging .700 a week from now, eyes slideways.  But he probably won't be.

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Dr. D!  You are Off the Hot Seat,

Lonnie of MC

 

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Comments

Except I admit that just yesterday I started thinking that maybe Bay was a good pickup. I'm not saying that I think he was just that I always figured the chance to be so low as not to be worth really noting but now I'm a bit more intrigued. At the time it was an ok crap shoot, then Ibanez signed and Morse was acquired, then the revelation that Morse was slated for OF duty mainly. I'd have been pretty happy with the outfield outlook without Bay, but I'm watching a bit closer now.

Hultzen throwing the ball 7 times to get 2 K's and a weak grounder was pretty eye opening. 1 walk given up by the whole staff too. If we ignore Noesi (since hardly anyone is hoping for him) so far the guys battling to start have been phenomenal. If it keeps up I'll start combining the stats, but it's so early.

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Bay hit his off Tyson Ross, who's big problem is control and not stuff, and he hit it off a 95 mph fastball after Wells struck out. Wells hit his off a 28 year old that reached AAA for the second time last season. I don't know anything about Brandon Kloess (Wells' victim), but he was the 5th guy the Padres ran out. Friday, the Mariners ran out Chance Ruff in, and Saturday they ran out Bobby Laframboise, and neither of those guys are making the bullpen out of camp, and neither are going to be the first callup if someone gets hurt (both could admittedly hand an ML bullpen role, but this is the Mariners Bullpen of Ultimate doom we're talking about).

The point is, if Bay looks like 95% of his old .900 self, if he can pull an .850 OPS over 400 or so PA, well, would you rather have Reggie Sanders or Chris Young? I don't know if there is a right answer.

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Gordon GrossThe problem with the tough losses is that they make it impossible to offset the obvious ones. If we'd gutted out the tough wins then getting blown out isn't so rough, but when we're just losing hard or losing big the pain just piles up.18 min 24 sec ago
JDDubThis is going about as I thought it could. All that's left is for the bullpen to come in and remove all hope......1 hour 2 min ago
SABR MattWe're in deep trouble. Elias isn't going to go deep today...and Maurer certainly won't tomorrow. This is not at all good.1 hour 15 min ago
SABR MattWell Cano will be there soon enough. :)5 hours 11 min ago
rick82All this left handed sock, and our two best hitters are Corey Hart and Mike Zunino at .842 and .834 OPS respectively. Only Ackley is anywhere close at 782.6 hours 49 min ago
GLSThere may come a time when Stanton is available and that time could be this next offseason. With 2 seasons left until free agency, if they offer a long-term deal and he refuses, that's the point at which someone may be able to get him.17 hours 21 min ago
muddyfrogwaterATTENTION! Giancarlo Stanton was not on the trade block. Never was. Miami made it clear early on they planned to build around him. He was no more available than Felix Hernandez was. He's theirs and we cant have him.18 hours 5 min ago
Bat571Bring Back Hyphen!! The D'Back's DFA'd Ryan Rowland-Smith today. He was 7-0 with a 1.55 ERA last year in AAA. Maybe he'd have something left as a 13th starter/long reliever?18 hours 40 min ago
Gordon GrossI'm regretting not keeping Harang. ;-) He's killing it right now. I could have used a month like that from a starter not named Felix.19 hours 22 min ago
GLSI wonder if the Mariners regret not going after Tanaka.19 hours 36 min ago
Gordon GrossThis is why I wanted Mike Stanton BADLY the last two seasons, and was talking about 4 or 5 top prospects/ young big-leaguers for him if we could do it. Ah well. Sure is a fun guy to watch though.19 hours 56 min ago
Bat571B-ref says he's never played 1B, though. But given Morban's injury history and LHedness, it might be worth a try.20 hours 18 min ago
Bat571Morban's a good idea, too.20 hours 21 min ago
Bat571Granted OF are more *valuable* than 1B, and he is an athletic OF who can play CF, but I still think it'd be worth a try, just to regain the energy in the lineup.20 hours 22 min ago
JDDubHey, a Morban sighting! Hand him a 1B glove to keep him of the DL.20 hours 24 min ago
Bat571I'd rather try James Jones at 1B and see how he fares. He's played it some in the minors and in college, he's tall, athletic, and LH so should be a decent target, and he brings energy and enthusiasm to things.20 hours 25 min ago
moethedogGordon, Smoak is ours, unless we decide that Hart is our 1B. Or Jones in LF, Almonte in CF, Romero in RF and Ackley at 1B. Just kidding. How about Franklin at 1B? Nah, it will be Smoak.20 hours 46 min ago
IcebreakerXYeah. Taijuan Walker should never be a centerpiece for Giancarlo Stanton. Never ever ever. /s21 hours 2 min ago
JDDubAdding to that, even when walks aren't a problem like tonight we have a bunch of bullpen guys that are constantly struggling behind in the count. Even when they don't walk somebody they're forced to throw some meaty on a 3-1 count far too often.22 hours 31 min ago
JDDubAll I asked for since late last season was a couple reliable bullpen arms. Didn't have to be a closer even. Just $20M to sign a couple guys like Joaquin Benoit, Boone Logan or maybe a Joe Smith. Our pen is too wild, I'm seeing BB/9 of 6,7,8 from our top guys. This pen is going to KILL US all season long. Get used to it. Marlins and Astros. Young, hungry and dangerous. As I figured Eovaldi pretty much shut us down aside for the 2 run single.22 hours 35 min ago