Q. Is it possible for local fans to over-hype their own prospects?
A. Asked and answered.
Q. Are Seattle fans doing this with Danny Hultzen?
A. Danny Hultzen was THE NUMBER TWO PICK IN THE ENTIRE DRAFT.
Look, gentlemen, if we were talking about Mike Carp or Alex Liddi or Kyle Seager or Carlos Peguero, that would be one thing. But don't paint every prospect hopeful with the same "he's just a prospect" brush. Each year there are four or five super-prospects.
You don't luck into a Danny Hultzen, dump $10.6 million on him, and then lose interest when he walks a few guys in his first pro year. Draw a distinction between "the kids" and players who are legitimate super-talents.
Q. In your mind, who are the M's legitimate "super-talents"?
A. Dustin Ackley was also the #2 pick in the entire draft. We're not talking about "in Jeff Clarke's" mind. Ackley and Hultzen and Mike Zunino were, in their drafts, the BEST hitters and pitchers in the INDUSTRY. Not among the best. THE NUMBER ONE players.
Jesus Montero also came with a super-elite pedigree: he was the TOP hitter in the minors, him and Harper, when Montero was in the minors. Jack Zduriencik evaluated him as comparable to Albert Pujols. You don't wander off and lose interest because the kid only hit .295 on the road at 22.
Taijuan Walker is on a Felix Hernandez career path, give or take half a year. Consider carefully what you'd have felt like, had we traded Felix at age 19? James Paxton is better than Hultzen.
Trash the actual prospects, Carp and Liddi and Romero, if you want to. But keep a sense of proportion on Hultzen, Ackley, Paxton, Taijuan, Zunino, and Jesus Montero. Those players are a different breed of cat.
Nick Franklin, you could argue about. But there's no arguing about the Six.
Q. Justin Smoak was supposed to be elite.
A. He was elite. At this point, there's enough data return to downgrade him.
If your reaction is "Because of Justin Smoak, or Ben Grieve, or Delmon Young, or Sean Burroughs, or Andy Marte, I'm just not interested in 1-1 draft picks any more," then that's on you.
If you want the Mariners to increase payroll, to try harder to win, then argue for that. But don't argue that Montero, Zunino, Ackley and the Big Three are overrated. They are not.