BaseballHQ on Taijuan

On their roto stash list for 2013 productivity

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I/O:  BaseballHQ has four elite SP's that they think look like "annual Cy Young contenders" -- Dylan Bundy, Gerrit Cole, Trevor Bauer and Taijuan Walker.

CRUNCH - Nice to see Cole step back into dominance last year.  There are other young SP's who look like impact pitchers very soon - Tyler Skaggs, Jose Fernandez, the M's two starters, and a couple of others.

But the takeaway here is that HQ expects Taijuan to arrive in the second half of this year, or in April 2014 at the latest.  He's on their 2013 roto watch list, meaning that their clients should be banking him for 2013 production.

They've got him as the #6 prospect in baseball -- Jackson Profar SS, Wil Myers OF, and Oscar Taveras OF along with Bundy and Cole.  Then Taijuan.

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I/O:  Deloney and Gordon give the tools assessment on Taijuan.  

CRUNCH:  These two guys are Dr. D's go-to source for tools reports that can be relied on.  For Taijuan, they've got:

  • FB:  91-98, 5 stars
  • CB:  80-82, 3 stars
  • CH:  84-87, 2 stars

That's the only 5-star rating I specifically ever recall seeing in their book.  Am sure there have been a few others.

Their prose:

Athletic, electric SP who bypassed High A.  Few can match athleticism and upside ...

... with potential for three above avg offerings.

Exceptional fastball may be best in minors with explosive velocity and life.

Can dominate with hard curve, but needs to find consistency.

Has clean delivery and should post very high K rates.

On the videos we have seen, Walker does seem to have the Brandon Morrow type of fastball that can be used as a "challenge" pitch, one that can miss out-and-over and still draw a swinging strike.

The development of the offspeed stuff isn't as critical for a guy like Walker.  Felix never emphasized that, throwing the ball by people; he was more of a command guy from the start, so his excellent offspeed stuff was integral to his game.  

Michael Pineda threw this type of hard, and people oversold the importance of his offspeed game just like they will Taijuan's.  When the batter has to pull the trigger during the windup, there's a lot of margin for error built in.

But wow.  It ain't like Walker is having trouble with those offspeed pitches, either.  He's growing physically and growing in terms of the control of his own game.  He's liable wake up one day pretty soon and find out he's Felix Hernandez.

Let's hope the M's wake up as soon as he does...

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SABR MattI hope that's what they do...I want Melkman.52 min 17 sec ago
jemanjiMatt: exactly. Gotta leave the face-saving buffer space to sweeten your "ultimatum."56 min 56 sec ago
jemanjiGood call on Desmond there Taro … is trending down … trends aren't the absolute (I'll take a Cano, even if trending down, over Franklin age 26) but Dr. D and the HQ mouse in his pocket agree.57 min 56 sec ago
SABR Mattyes, true. "Look...you're not going to get ifve years guys...but maybe we can do four if the fourth is a vest for 130 games played in 2017 - deal?"1 hour 13 min ago
jemanjiPuts them in a position tho to close the deal. "We're going to go with Rios. If we did an easy vesting option on Melky for the 4th year, would we be getting close? Gotta decide tonight."1 hour 21 min ago
SABR Mattgrrr...nails on a chalkboard if it's true that the Mariners won't go past three years for Cabrera. That's just dumb.1 hour 39 min ago
SABR Matthm....I always thought Elsa was the principle villain of that movie until Anna made her see the light. :)1 hour 42 min ago
jemanjiIce Palace, conjured out of nothing, like Frozen. A lame homeowner but a dazzling jewel box to display the protagonist in1 hour 59 min ago
SABR Mattthis should be fun...beni is killing it over there...giving us a palace to live in.2 hours 1 min ago
jemanjiThanks go to Ben there Matt … where you, Gordon, and Spec are on the front page, that's pretty much up to you and Ben … I'm flexible. I loved the bottom row on his bidness site but I think he has an even better idea2 hours 6 min ago
Gordon GrossThat's quite a layout Benihana is putting together. VERY swanky, and only gonna get swankier from the looks of things (and from some of the potential plug-ins like a chatroom for games or whatnot). Lookin' good!2 hours 12 min ago
SABR MattI'd go ahead and give Melky the fifth year if he'd take 60 mil. 5/60 is cheaper than 4/542 hours 17 min ago
SABR MattWow...love the general look and feel of the new site, Doc...where would your co-contributors be features in a site designed like that...in the menu bar below the front panel?2 hours 18 min ago
jemanjiPreview Benihana's artistry at www.detect-o-vision.com. Desmond HQ'able at old drdetectovision WordPress2 hours 26 min ago
Gordon GrossBTW, if Melky is seriously looking for a 5/60 deal and no one will go beyond three... give him year four, call it 4/50 and take an offseason victory lap. That's cheaper over 4 years than CarGo is over 3. Boras is just gonna jerk us around over Rios, and I'm not in the mood. Glad that Dutton thinks we're cool on Desmond and on Taijuan+ for Upton. Gimme my bat and let's break for a celebratory dinner.2 hours 38 min ago
Gordon GrossDesmond loves to swing for the fences, and that's a tough row to hoe in Safeco as a righty glove infielder. I'm fine with Melky, or with CarGo from the Rox for moderate pieces. I'd be fine with Rasmus and Souza. I'm NOT fine with Viciedo. I like the Rule 5 kid, and am glad we've gotten Seager extended, Cruz signed and I'm even good with Saunders for Happ depending on what we do after that. Still got that large and looming hole in RF, tho... let's not fall back to some of these worthless positions, shall we?2 hours 45 min ago
TaroEnough with these Miller for Desmond rumors and Viciedo…. Enough. We should be talking to the Nats about Souza, but I'm giving up on that as there are rumors pointing to it. Just sign Melky, and end the madness.3 hours 14 min ago
TaroDesmond is trending down. 4 years straight of declining SwS% and contact rate. His K rate jumped last year and AVG took a hit. In fact his BABIP was lucky in 2014 compared to his historical rates (jump in pop ups, decline in LDs). SS defense declining. Class buy high scenario and profile of a player that is aging early. HUGE NO. Makes no sense whatsoever. I would not even be confident that he'd be an upgrade in 2015 over Miller with the league switch and Safeco (which is a horrible match for his swing).3 hours 14 min ago
Gordon GrossThe Royals let Billy Butler go to the As for 3/30 and then their replacement plan is... 2/17 for Kendrys? I mean, it saves you 1.5 mil a year, but really? Betting on the rebound, I guess, or they REALLY thought Butler was done.4 hours 30 min ago
rick82Heh, we gave them Morse, we gave them Rendon, we took Morse off their hands. We pretty much handed them Fister. That good catcher they have? - I remember when he was a consolation prize in trade talks with Minnesota. We wouldn't pull the trigger and they swooped in and got a very good catcher. Didn't they have Raffy Soriano at one time? I want something good in return from that franchise for all we've done for them. And I'm not talking the next old version of Jose Vidro.4 hours 31 min ago