BaseballHQ on Taijuan

On their roto stash list for 2013 productivity

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I/O:  BaseballHQ has four elite SP's that they think look like "annual Cy Young contenders" -- Dylan Bundy, Gerrit Cole, Trevor Bauer and Taijuan Walker.

CRUNCH - Nice to see Cole step back into dominance last year.  There are other young SP's who look like impact pitchers very soon - Tyler Skaggs, Jose Fernandez, the M's two starters, and a couple of others.

But the takeaway here is that HQ expects Taijuan to arrive in the second half of this year, or in April 2014 at the latest.  He's on their 2013 roto watch list, meaning that their clients should be banking him for 2013 production.

They've got him as the #6 prospect in baseball -- Jackson Profar SS, Wil Myers OF, and Oscar Taveras OF along with Bundy and Cole.  Then Taijuan.

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I/O:  Deloney and Gordon give the tools assessment on Taijuan.  

CRUNCH:  These two guys are Dr. D's go-to source for tools reports that can be relied on.  For Taijuan, they've got:

  • FB:  91-98, 5 stars
  • CB:  80-82, 3 stars
  • CH:  84-87, 2 stars

That's the only 5-star rating I specifically ever recall seeing in their book.  Am sure there have been a few others.

Their prose:

Athletic, electric SP who bypassed High A.  Few can match athleticism and upside ...

... with potential for three above avg offerings.

Exceptional fastball may be best in minors with explosive velocity and life.

Can dominate with hard curve, but needs to find consistency.

Has clean delivery and should post very high K rates.

On the videos we have seen, Walker does seem to have the Brandon Morrow type of fastball that can be used as a "challenge" pitch, one that can miss out-and-over and still draw a swinging strike.

The development of the offspeed stuff isn't as critical for a guy like Walker.  Felix never emphasized that, throwing the ball by people; he was more of a command guy from the start, so his excellent offspeed stuff was integral to his game.  

Michael Pineda threw this type of hard, and people oversold the importance of his offspeed game just like they will Taijuan's.  When the batter has to pull the trigger during the windup, there's a lot of margin for error built in.

But wow.  It ain't like Walker is having trouble with those offspeed pitches, either.  He's growing physically and growing in terms of the control of his own game.  He's liable wake up one day pretty soon and find out he's Felix Hernandez.

Let's hope the M's wake up as soon as he does...

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SABR MattI agree with Stone that Montero and Ackley need to clear their heads in AAA...and I like the idea of looking at Franklin and Triunfel. I am not sure Bonderman will help much, but it's worth a shot...he's an unknown whereas Harang is a known. And I'd be looking to land a thumper for the OF at the trade deadline not for 2013 but to build around.34 min 14 sec ago
phxterrySo SABR Matt - what's your prescription for the M's right now?57 min 42 sec ago
phxterrycorrection: "Smoak's lower OPS against LHPs."1 hour 14 min ago
phxterryMal, appreciate your addressing my question why Wedgie would start Smoak > Montero against a LHP despite Smoak's lower OPS against RHPs. Unfortunately, Smoak was 0-4 with 3 K's and stranded 5 baserunners, but Montero might have done worse. So do you see any situation now when Wedgie should play Montero, other than the 2 days a week when Montero, who has been reduced to back-up catcher, gives Shoppach some rest? If so, what would those situations be?1 hour 15 min ago
Bat571actually, Andino is somewhat higher than .474; I missed something somewhere - but the idea remains. He's not getting better, he's been between .450 and.500 for a month or so. Ryan has started climbing out of the septic tank and has come from below .400 to where he is now in the last two weeks. And though he has muffed a few plays recently, he's still BY FAR the better glove.1 hour 45 min ago
SABR Matt*sigh*...I miss being competitive into September................1 hour 50 min ago
Bat571Of note, looks like Ryan, with his double, is now at .473 OPS, while Andino is at .474. Can we really afford both, when only one is a superior glove? Triunfel and/or Franklin, please. Ryan can play all 3 IF glove positions, so losing Andino, now that the compressed sked and road trips are behind us for now, is not that much of a loss in flexibility, if either Carlos or Nick replaces him.2 hours 27 sec ago
phxterrySerious question: M's now down 0-7; let's assume they lose and record is 20-27, with Wildcard playoff hopes essentially dead. Why wouldn't the M's clear the roster of 1-year older vets unlikely to return next year and bring up young-uns from AAA: 1) Trade Morales 2) Trade or DFA Bay and Rauuuuul 3) DFA Andino 4) Bring up AAA OFers Peguero and Thames 5) Bring up Triunfel & Franklin. Why would you continue to play old vets who won't be on the team next year?2 hours 13 min ago
phxterryFunny quote of the day from Nathan Bishop at LL, alongside today's lineup; "Jesus Montero is not in the dog house. He is not allowed inside at all. He has to sleep outside in the rain." Seriously, if Wedgie won't play Montero as DH against a LHP, what is the point of having Montero on the big league roster? Maybe he can learn by watching Shoppach. Oh wait, we tried that last year, Montero was supposed to sit and learn by watching that fundamentally sound catcher, Miguel Olivo.2 hours 43 min ago
blissedjI kid, I kid. Still love the M's but good grief let's get Andino out of here please. I need Franklin playing SS/2B 5 times a week. That won't hurt Ackley or Ryan. Let 'em compete, best 2 win. Do it again next year with Miller. Don't see how Z and Wedge can sit on their hands much longer. Harang and Saunders limping along. So many areas change can be explored!2 hours 50 min ago
MtGrizzlyThe bullpen isn't going to make it to the ASB without arms falling off at this rate.2 hours 54 min ago
SABR Mattwow guys...you're depressing me more than the team is.3 hours 54 sec ago
blissedj"A new day, the same old way", "True to the black and blue", "Ready to Play (but still in Tacoma)", "Donde esta la mojo?", Mariners pitchers adopt "2 outs, so what?"3 hours 2 min ago
phxterryWow - Angels have 24 hits and 18 runs in 10.1 innings against M's pitchers.3 hours 7 min ago
phxterryMariner Fun Fact: When the M's record was 20-21, ESPN had the chances for the M's making the post-season playoffs at 16%. After 5 straight losses and the record at 20-26, the chances are down to 7%. So it looks as if 2 or 3 more losses will drive that possibility to essentially zero.3 hours 18 min ago
blissedjWow, one turn through the rotation to rip the heart right out of the season. Calling Dr. D to surgery.3 hours 22 min ago
malcontent...wild CJ Wilson3 hours 25 min ago
malcontentSmoak has been the hotter hitter, Smoak is the most patient player on the team while Montero might be the most aggressive against an always weeks Colby Lewis.3 hours 27 min ago
SABR MattWas just checking to see if there was anything that absolutely HAD to happen...there isn't. It's just Stone wanting the club to take action (as do I...but it's not REQUIRED...it's just logical)3 hours 30 min ago
Bat571It's also coming from the idea of where do we get a spot for Nick Franklin.3 hours 39 min ago