BaseballHQ on Taijuan

On their roto stash list for 2013 productivity

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I/O:  BaseballHQ has four elite SP's that they think look like "annual Cy Young contenders" -- Dylan Bundy, Gerrit Cole, Trevor Bauer and Taijuan Walker.

CRUNCH - Nice to see Cole step back into dominance last year.  There are other young SP's who look like impact pitchers very soon - Tyler Skaggs, Jose Fernandez, the M's two starters, and a couple of others.

But the takeaway here is that HQ expects Taijuan to arrive in the second half of this year, or in April 2014 at the latest.  He's on their 2013 roto watch list, meaning that their clients should be banking him for 2013 production.

They've got him as the #6 prospect in baseball -- Jackson Profar SS, Wil Myers OF, and Oscar Taveras OF along with Bundy and Cole.  Then Taijuan.

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I/O:  Deloney and Gordon give the tools assessment on Taijuan.  

CRUNCH:  These two guys are Dr. D's go-to source for tools reports that can be relied on.  For Taijuan, they've got:

  • FB:  91-98, 5 stars
  • CB:  80-82, 3 stars
  • CH:  84-87, 2 stars

That's the only 5-star rating I specifically ever recall seeing in their book.  Am sure there have been a few others.

Their prose:

Athletic, electric SP who bypassed High A.  Few can match athleticism and upside ...

... with potential for three above avg offerings.

Exceptional fastball may be best in minors with explosive velocity and life.

Can dominate with hard curve, but needs to find consistency.

Has clean delivery and should post very high K rates.

On the videos we have seen, Walker does seem to have the Brandon Morrow type of fastball that can be used as a "challenge" pitch, one that can miss out-and-over and still draw a swinging strike.

The development of the offspeed stuff isn't as critical for a guy like Walker.  Felix never emphasized that, throwing the ball by people; he was more of a command guy from the start, so his excellent offspeed stuff was integral to his game.  

Michael Pineda threw this type of hard, and people oversold the importance of his offspeed game just like they will Taijuan's.  When the batter has to pull the trigger during the windup, there's a lot of margin for error built in.

But wow.  It ain't like Walker is having trouble with those offspeed pitches, either.  He's growing physically and growing in terms of the control of his own game.  He's liable wake up one day pretty soon and find out he's Felix Hernandez.

Let's hope the M's wake up as soon as he does...

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Tacoma Rainso the M's incredible bullpen has given up 5 of the 15 earned runs Paxton has given up this year... Maybe James needs to learn how to argue better with Lloyd7 hours 18 min ago
Gordon GrossWe've now lost 3 Paxton starts since he came back in August where he has given up zero or 1 runs through 6 innings. Add that to the abysmal Felix losses or NDs in his UQ starts... man, with a half decent O we'd have won a hundred games. Maybe next year. Cuz of course our pitching will stay this dominant...7 hours 35 min ago
Tacoma RainHarold and rest of MLB TV experts are questioning removing Paxton loudly - even saying that they could see the relief in the Angels dugout when Paxton was getting pulled8 hours 19 min ago
rick82To pick up on Gordon's comment, perhaps they should award the Cy Young to all starters who faced the M's these season. Hector Noesi can accept the award for the entire ensemble. That would be fitting.8 hours 29 min ago
rick82Maybe Elias spooked him. He didn't want to lose another young lefty. But one more batter was in order. James earned that. Oh well, you can't win if you can't score.8 hours 55 min ago
Tacoma RainI was very unhappy Rick with the decision.... and I am not getting any better with time9 hours 57 sec ago
moethedogNice pitching change, Skip.9 hours 14 min ago
rick82Should have let him finish the inning. I know that's obvious now, but how many of you were thinking the same thing when Lloyd pulled him?9 hours 14 min ago
Gordon GrossObservations as of the 7th inning: 1) James Paxton remains as maliciously and casually devastating as I have always believed him to be. 2)The Ms offense as a whole has apparently faced it's 97th Cy Young candidate on the year. 3) Smoak's 647th career fat meatball that he turned into a can of corn with runners on made me say inappropriate (or perhaps very appropriate) things to the TV. 4) Denorfia is a bad human being, or at least a terrible fielder of baseballs in a playoff race that can't afford any more games to be given away with moronic gaffes.9 hours 21 min ago
DaddyOTough, TOUGH break for Paxton on the ball misplayed by Denorfia. He has looked as good as any pitcher I've ever seen. C.J. Wilson is throwing a gem himself.9 hours 22 min ago
MtGrizzlyWhen Paxton has his curve working for him, he's lethal.10 hours 13 min ago
OBFBlech I don't like the lineup today... Is Hart injured again or something? Is Romero is the dog house now or something? Of course as I am typing Smoak gets the first base hit... String em together boys!10 hours 25 min ago
OBFMan.... Paxton may be better than Unit, King, Moyer, EVERYONE when all is said and done... 98 MPH UP in the zone from a lefty, 93 mph cutter boring in on the righties, a knuckle curve for gimmie strikes and a changeup that after some refinement will rival The Royal Change... You Go Paxton! Now lets score him a couple runs!!!10 hours 29 min ago
Gordon GrossNice writeup on Cano and the Ms by national writer and local homer Caple: http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/11539289/mlb-robinson-cano-impact-seattle-mariners-improvement16 hours 4 min ago
SABR MattI think we just need to take some mood stabilizing drugs (myself included) and enjoy the ride...LOL20 hours 40 min ago
DaddyOIf we do this, I can pretty much guarantee we will not only make the playoffs, we will win the whole enchilada!21 hours 35 min ago
DaddyOOkay, had to take my wife to work and get some blood drawn, but while out I figured out what's required of Mariners fans down the stretch. Like I said below, the M's seem to revive whenever they sink so low that we write them off. So I suggest we become Bizarro World fans. Just like in the Bizarro World series of Seinfeld episodes, where Elaine runs into three characters that look like Jerry, George, and Kramer but behave the exact opposite, so M's fans must become dejected and bitter whenever we win, and elated whenever we lose. This all makes perfect sense, since the M's as a franchise have always been the Bizarro franchise, the one that seeks to make money while consistently trotting out sorry teams over the years, the one that even managed to screw up seasons when they had four HOF'ers on the field at the same time. So Bizarro World it is, mates!21 hours 36 min ago
SABR Matt(Referring specifically to the 2014 incarnation)21 hours 57 min ago
SABR MattI'm gonna call this team the "Mood Swing Mariners" for the rest of my life.21 hours 57 min ago
SABR MattLOL DaddyO - I was hoping Dr. D would have a post up with a picture of Frankenstein's Monster being struck by lightning.23 hours 16 min ago