May 2009

  • Captain Jack Snags His Bret Boone

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    === RUSSELL BRANYAN, SIZZLER ===

    We all know that Mr. Three True Outcomes is hitting .300/.400/.600 in fulltime play. We also know that he's got a BABIP near .400 -- despite playing in a park that devastates BABIP ...

    ... for most players. (Speaking of most players in Safeco, were you aware that Rauuuuuul is STILL slugging over .700?)

    Our QUESTION is, how good can Branyan be when hitting in normal luck, and for how long? Is he a player you can win your next pennant with?

    ................... Read more

  • To MOOORRRRRRRoooooowww...

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    === To MORRRRRow, To MORRRRRow Dept. ===

    As with Brandon Morrow's career to date, this 80-year-old song works beautifully -- provided you are a viewing it as a 4-year-old child on an ice cream bender:

    The sun'll come out
    Tomorrow
    Bet your bottom dollar
    That tomorrow
    There'll be sun!

    Just thinkin' about
    Tomorrow
    Clears away the cobwebs,
    And the sorrow
    'Til there's none!

    When I'm stuck a day
    That's gray,
    And lonely,
    I just stick out my chin
    And Grin,
    And Say,
    Oh!

    The sun'll come out
    Tomorrow
    So ya gotta hang on
    'Til tomorrow
    Come what may
    Tomorrow! Tomorrow! Read more

  • Felix' Worst Day Ever.

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    WakamatsuWakamatsuGeoff Baker has a very fine feel for the game of baseball.  Once again he puts his finger on the most important issues that face the Mariners going forward -- this time, Felix Hernandez' competitive disposition.  It goes directly towards the question of whether Jack Zduriencik and Don Wakamatsu want to build their pennantwinner around Felix Hernandez or not.

     

    Baker quotes Felix:

    "I'm not frustrated ... I made good pitches, they just hit the ball in the holes."

    This comment is perfectly reasonable, unless you're interested in living on planet Earth rather than dozing among the tangerine trees and marmalade skies. Read more

  • Felix' Pitchability and Effort

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    After the M's got Felix five runs and lost the game to their division rivals, Wakamatsu was furious.  Give him credit for his professional social veneer, but his anger was palpable even on the radio.

    One of the things that Wok talked about, was Felix putting little or no effort into holding runners -- and it was exactly this same frame-of-mind that had Felix grabbing the ball and throwing it without an idea.  He was evidently in a lazy-brain mode. 

    Felix had no "pitchability" -- no capacity for, and no interest in -- throwing the Angels the pitches that might cross them up.  He grabbed the ball and threw it mindlessly.  Read between the lines and you will see that general (lack of) interest in the game is what had Wakamatsu apoplectic. Read more

  • Trade Adrian Beltre Right Now

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    ... well, the moment that somebody coughs up a young player that you think you can win your next pennant with.  :- )

    ..................

    Sandy points out that the Brad Nelson signing could improve positioning unto an Adrian Beltre trade:

    ...........
    Read more

  • .300 - .400 - .500 at second base?

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    === PTI, Ackley at 2B ===

    Mt Grizzly finds the idea decidedly too optimistic:

    I love the optimistic angle as much as the next guy but...if the only examples that one can find where this type of move has worked are HOF-level guys, then I'm not sure how applicable it is.

    Mariner Central posters reply, in the main, that you're not losing much even if Ackley cannot play the infield.  If he can play 2B, you're max'ing out his value; even if not, he's still the #2, goes the volley.

    True dat.  But in Grizzle's defense, my argument was that you are PROBABLY looking at an infielder when you draft Ackley.  So lay down your clipboards and forget about the #3-8 candidates in the draft. Read more

  • The Seattle Sounders vrs. The Seattle Mariners

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    The SeaGals love the Sounders!The SeaGals love the Sounders!Different stadiums, albeit about 500 yards apart, I went to games of each sport in Seattle back to back to see what all the fuss was about the Seattle Sounders and if a Mariner's game was worth its price tag. Read more

  • Dustin Ackley at 2B? That's a #1-overall worthy player

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    CrustyJuggler pointed out Gammons' report regarding Ackley's potential at second base.  What gives the story traction is that Jack Zduriencik likes the idea.

    If Ackley actually moved from OF to second base, that would also move him from "Player of choice, in an uncomfortable draft position, in an uncomfortable draft" to "true #1-worthy pick."

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    === Feasibility Studies, Dept. ===

    Would it take Ackley four years, or eight, or what, in order to meet our local standards for aesthetically-pleasing defense?  ;- )  Read more

  • Around the Horn, May 15

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    === Baseball (In Seattle) Prospectus Dept. ===

    It's never as bleak as it looks during a losing streak.  If the M's went 1-9 all year, they'd beat out the Cleveland Spyders for most losses...  hey, it was just a slump, kiddies.  This team has talent.  Starting with Felix and Bedard.

    Baseball Prospectus' W3/L3 stat has the M's talent level as that of a 15-20 team.  That's despite Beltre, Lopez, Betancourt and their catcher having OPS+ of 58, 75, 61 and 32 respectively.

    The infield has literally been A+ minor-league effective at the plate, and yet the equivalent runs for and against have been around .420 baseball.  This is a team with some talent.

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    === LF === Read more

  • Mariners 5, Red Sox 4 - May 15

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    Ichiro5151Ichiro5151There are games we remember a long time.  For Cindy and I there were ... (1) a late 70's, early 80's game in which Tom Paciorek hit a walk-off three-run shot against the Yankees' Goose Gossage (or was it Ron Davis) ... (2) Alvin Davis' callup with the Mariners, batting 6th, in which he hit one into the upper deck at the Kingdome ... you know whatuh mean.  :- )

    I expect tonight's game to be in that category.  Down 0-4, terrible losing streak, Ichiro hits TWO homers to bring the M's back.  That's got to be Ichiro's only multihomer game in the bigs  -- past, present, future.  My son (6'2", 240 now) high-fived me literally as hard as he could and separated my hand from my forearm.  LOL.

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    I looked up at one point and Boston had 6 hits to the Mariners' 2.  Next time I looked up, it was 7 hits to 11, if I recall correctly.   Read more