January 2009

  • Huskies take one on the chin against Wildcats

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    <!--[if gte mso 9]&gt; Normal 0 MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 &lt;![endif]--><!--[if !mso]&gt;-->The Huskies finally fell back to earth with a painful loss to the Arizona Wildcats, 106-97, in Tucson on Thursday night. After an impressive run of 6 wins in 7 Pac-10 contests—with the sole loss a triple overtime thriller against Cal—the Huskies conceded a road loss to one of the historically best teams in the country.

    Arizona down but still dangerous Read more

  • The Rumor

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    From Prospect Insider:

    I received a tip today from a friend of the site about a potential payroll-moving trade by Jack Zduriencik, and in following up on it, there might be something to it - or at least there may have been at some point.

    What I dug up/have been told is that the M's are working on a trade that would rid themselves of either Jarrod Washburn, Miguel Batista, or even Carlos Silva to an AL Central team.

    But Brandon Morrow and either Wladimir Balentien or Jeff Clement - or both - might have to be part of the trade, at least as far as I can gather.

    Returning would be a young corner outfielder with solid defensive skills and one strong offensive season under his belt, and minor league prospects - at least one pitcher.

    Normally, you wouldn't criticize based on a rumor.  But does ANYbody feel that this trade would be uncharacterically illogical for the home nine? Read more

  • Chemistry 101 - the Branyan Kapler Durham Counsell Maneuver

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    Q.  Put me in the camp with Sandy about being ambivalent about the trade. Don’t like losing Heilman but like having pressure on the middle infielders to perform, which Z has explicitly stated was his intent. Read more

  • POTD Mike Sweeney

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    Sweeney was, from about 1998 to 2005, the Royals' version of Edgar Martinez.   He'd hit .320 with lots of walks, a .400-ish OBP, forty doubles and 25 homers.  He's also an awesome human being by all accounts. 

    He was the quintessential Barking Spider for many years -- a small-market, underrated roto commodity who gave Mikey Jay as much production as the hyped guys drafted far ahead of him.

    ................

    Sweeney's last good year was when he was 31 -- and he's 35 now.  Could there be anything left for him?

    The problem has really been his back. 

    For three years in a row, Sweeney has hit for zero power, and that ain't good for a big 1B who's there to drive in runs.  He's hit 17 homers total, in a good fraction of three years, and you're talking about an extreme fly ball hitter here.  He's a flyball guy who had first warning track power, and who now has mid-outfield power.

    Mike's RC/27 used to be 8.0 - 9.0 .... then it went down to a Swisher-ish 6.0 or so ... now it has been down to 4.0, 4.2.  His Power Index (PX) has gone from 120-130 to .... um .... Read more

  • POTD Garrett Olson

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    DISCLAIMER DEPT.  I liked Olson coming out of AAA and worked hard to get him onto my roto teams.  I'm hardly biased against the lad. 

    And his life is hardly over, after a couple of bad trips around the league.

    .......................

    Justin, who lives in Baltimore, won the ESPN All-Star league this year.  He was one of the original 1995 STATS AOL brat pack that dominated local cyberspace during its first couple of eons.  :- )

    We ax,

    “What was the problem with Olson translating his K/BB’s to the major leagues? Did they chase him out of the strike zone?”

    Justin sez,

    Olson’s got no command of his changeup, so he’s basically a two-pitch pitcher with a high-80’s fastball but a killer slurve. There were a few games where he was absolutely hammered.

    The one thing I will say is he profiles as an overachiever. He was on the O’s pregame show many times discussing different deliveries he’s working on and comparable star pitchers with great enthusiasm. He apparently also has been noted for a strong work ethic. Read more

  • The Spin on Heilman

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    Q:  Seems to me that the disconnect between you and the rest of the blog-o-sphere is NOT the valuation of Cedeno, but instead the valuation of Heilman.

    A1.  Agreed.  And the trade's fine if Aaron Heilman is a bit part, thrown in on the "Franklin Gutierrez" trade.

    This is definitely the way that the Mariners themselves spin it:  that they traded J.J. Putz for Franklin Gutierrez, plus a hodgepodge of interesting parts that suit Capt Jack's philosophy.  If you ask the Mariners, they'll certainly tell you that Heilman was simply not that important to them -- ergo, there's no sense caring one way or the other what they got for Heilman.

    ..............

    A2.  Once again, I approve of the idea of bringing in "my kind of players" in an effort to perform a heart transplant in the clubhouse.  Though players like Endy Chavez, Chris Shelton, Ronny Cedeno, by themselves are fringe players ... Read more

  • Pay Me Now, or Pay Me Later

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    Larry Walker hit .170/.264/.170 in his first year, at 22, in 47 AB's.  (Adam Jones has 54 AB's now.)  His MLB arc looked like this:

    22 - Pathetic

    23 - Average

    24 - Above Average

    25 - Star

     

    Miguel Tejada at 21 hit .202/.240/.333. Read more

  • Winning a Weird Position

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    The 12-year-old girl in pink, Hou Yifan, is a Grandmaster-level chessplayer.  She goes toe-to-toe, against scarier, tougher players, with the heart of Rocky Balboa.  She has courage, and fighting spirit, that many MLB players (much less us 'net rats) could never dream of.

    So does Sanja Dedijer (below).

     

     

    A lot of our baseball chats, including mine, go:  "If only we'd signed Teixeira.  Or Matsuzaka.  Or been born in Bangladesh where we could focus on finding a banana peel for breakfast, and not on this compost pile of a team."

    Pull a chess analogy for a change:  Even this 92-lb. Read more

  • ML Fringe is the new Impact Player

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    I've heard of Navy Is the New Black, but this is getting a bit bizarro :- )

    .

    Q. So you like the idea of Cedeno and Olson for Aaron Heilman? Is Ronny Cedeno a good idea?

    A. With the term "fringe ML player" we are describing a hard-working AAA player of limited talent, who does play better than most AAA players, who has no reasonable possibility to be a significant player for ANY of the 30 major league teams.

    Cedeno is one more fringe ML player, like Endy Chavez and Craig Counsell, who has cyber-Seattle enthused because the only thing he can do is field.

    Cedeno's career OPS+ is 62, which some amigos believe has caused him to be underrated with the bat. Ho-kay. ... it's true that Cedeno is "only" 26, but he is never going to hit HR, is not stealing bases, and is never going to draw walks. Read more

  • Closer Candidates - Power Rankings

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    Jemanji's 2009 Power Rankings for the Seattle closer role :- )

    1.  Josh Fields - best choice to close.  Spend da money
    2.  Tyler Walker - could give you a Bob Wickman season or two
    3.  David Aardsma - no way to tell until ST
    4.  Mark Lowe - becoming worrisome; am pessimistic
    5.  Roy Corcoran - should be on some ML team, just not this one
    6.  Miguel Batista - in lieu of funny-but-cruel remark, we'll just say:  BPV = -40; Age = 38

    1a.  Aaron Heilman - should start.  You can't teach "gifted" - and his 3rd pitch is ready now

    ..............

    Jason at Prospect Insider gives you his $0.03, based on an interesting scouts'-eye view of which pitcher has the "stuff" most suited to the role.

    I don't have anything against "stuff," obviously. Read more